Several mid-tier AFC sides including Iraq, Jordan, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Iran, South Korea, and Uzbekistan sit in a tight cluster of implied probabilities near 48 percent for finishing as the lowest-placed team among the confederation’s nine qualifiers. Their comparable recent qualifying campaigns—marked by narrow playoff results and mixed third-round performances—leave traders without a clear underperformer heading into the expanded 48-team group stage. Japan and Australia carry markedly lower probabilities at 20 percent and 12.5 percent, respectively, reflecting stronger historical records, deeper squads, and more consistent results against higher-ranked opponents. The broad spread across “Other” at 50 percent further underscores the absence of a consensus favorite, as group draw positioning, rest advantages, and potential upsets against non-AFC sides keep outcomes highly uncertain until matches begin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSouth Korea 50%
Iraq 47%
Jordan 47%
Saudi Arabia 47%
Australia
14%
Iran
45%
Iraq
47%
Japan
22%
Jordan
47%
Qatar
46%
Saudi Arabia
47%
South Korea
50%
Uzbekistan
46%
South Korea 50%
Iraq 47%
Jordan 47%
Saudi Arabia 47%
Australia
14%
Iran
45%
Iraq
47%
Japan
22%
Jordan
47%
Qatar
46%
Saudi Arabia
47%
South Korea
50%
Uzbekistan
46%
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 5, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Several mid-tier AFC sides including Iraq, Jordan, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Iran, South Korea, and Uzbekistan sit in a tight cluster of implied probabilities near 48 percent for finishing as the lowest-placed team among the confederation’s nine qualifiers. Their comparable recent qualifying campaigns—marked by narrow playoff results and mixed third-round performances—leave traders without a clear underperformer heading into the expanded 48-team group stage. Japan and Australia carry markedly lower probabilities at 20 percent and 12.5 percent, respectively, reflecting stronger historical records, deeper squads, and more consistent results against higher-ranked opponents. The broad spread across “Other” at 50 percent further underscores the absence of a consensus favorite, as group draw positioning, rest advantages, and potential upsets against non-AFC sides keep outcomes highly uncertain until matches begin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย