Jannik Sinner holds the strongest position in the 2026 men’s US Open market at 52.5% implied probability, driven by his dominant 2026 campaign that includes a 44-3 record, multiple Masters 1000 titles, and a Wimbledon defense. His hard-court consistency and overall form create a significant edge over the field on the fast surfaces at Flushing Meadows. Carlos Alcaraz sits at 22% as the 2025 defending champion, though wrist injury concerns and limited recent match play temper expectations for a repeat. Alexander Zverev at 7.4% benefits from recent Grand Slam final appearances but trails Sinner’s results head-to-head this season. Novak Djokovic at 3.8% reflects his veteran experience and past hard-court success, yet age and current form place him further back. The remaining contenders, including Taylor Fritz and Ben Shelton, occupy single-digit probabilities consistent with their strong but secondary results in major draws and recent tournaments. Market pricing captures these performance gaps and injury variables ahead of the late-August draw.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateJannik Sinner 53%
Carlos Alcaraz 22%
Alexander Zverev 7.4%
Novak Djokovic 3.8%
$4,787,363 Vol.
$4,787,363 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
53%
Carlos Alcaraz
22%
Alexander Zverev
7%
Novak Djokovic
4%
Taylor Fritz
3%
Ben Shelton
2%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Jiri Lehecka
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Lorenzo Musetti
<1%
Arthur Fils
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Holger Rune
<1%
Jannik Sinner 53%
Carlos Alcaraz 22%
Alexander Zverev 7.4%
Novak Djokovic 3.8%
$4,787,363 Vol.
$4,787,363 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
53%
Carlos Alcaraz
22%
Alexander Zverev
7%
Novak Djokovic
4%
Taylor Fritz
3%
Ben Shelton
2%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Jiri Lehecka
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Lorenzo Musetti
<1%
Arthur Fils
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Holger Rune
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner holds the strongest position in the 2026 men’s US Open market at 52.5% implied probability, driven by his dominant 2026 campaign that includes a 44-3 record, multiple Masters 1000 titles, and a Wimbledon defense. His hard-court consistency and overall form create a significant edge over the field on the fast surfaces at Flushing Meadows. Carlos Alcaraz sits at 22% as the 2025 defending champion, though wrist injury concerns and limited recent match play temper expectations for a repeat. Alexander Zverev at 7.4% benefits from recent Grand Slam final appearances but trails Sinner’s results head-to-head this season. Novak Djokovic at 3.8% reflects his veteran experience and past hard-court success, yet age and current form place him further back. The remaining contenders, including Taylor Fritz and Ben Shelton, occupy single-digit probabilities consistent with their strong but secondary results in major draws and recent tournaments. Market pricing captures these performance gaps and injury variables ahead of the late-August draw.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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