The closely contested 51% implied probability for Alix Earle appearing on *Call Her Daddy* by year-end reflects the tension between their shared history and a publicized 2026 feud. Earle was an early guest on the podcast and one of the first signings to Alex Cooper’s Unwell Network for her *Hot Mess* show, but the project was dropped in 2025 amid growing rumors of a rift. Those tensions escalated publicly in April when Cooper called out Earle’s “passive-aggressive” social media activity on TikTok, prompting a brief reply from Earle but no full reconciliation. As of late July, Earle’s upcoming Netflix reality series *Earle Meets World*—whose trailer just dropped—has been positioned as the venue where she will address the drama, adding another variable without signaling any immediate return to Cooper’s platform. Traders appear to weigh the potential for a business-driven makeup or surprise booking against ongoing distance and Earle’s expanding independent slate. A public olive branch, joint appearance, or confirmed booking before December would likely shift sentiment decisively toward Yes, while continued silence or further friction could push it the other way.