Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 53.5% implied probability due to his standout 2025-26 club campaign at Bayern Munich, where he delivered over 70 goal contributions while securing the Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, and DFL-Supercup, combined with a prolific World Cup showing for England. Lamine Yamal sits at 20.8% after captaining Spain to the 2026 World Cup title with exceptional playmaking and scoring as a teenager, adding La Liga and Supercopa honors, though traders view Kane's broader season consistency as the decisive edge. Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and Lionel Messi trail further back, reflecting strong but less dominant individual outputs amid team results, while lower-priced names like Ousmane Dembélé and Erling Haaland lack comparable recent trophy or statistical impact. The wisdom of crowds in these prices emphasizes the full European season plus international tournament as the key driver.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHarry Kane 53.5%
Lamine Yamal 20.8%
Kylian Mbappé 9.8%
Rodri 9%
$24,378,444 Vol.
$24,378,444 Vol.
Harry Kane
54%
Lamine Yamal
21%
Kylian Mbappé
10%
Rodri
9%
Lionel Messi
4%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
1%
Pau Cubarsi
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 53.5%
Lamine Yamal 20.8%
Kylian Mbappé 9.8%
Rodri 9%
$24,378,444 Vol.
$24,378,444 Vol.
Harry Kane
54%
Lamine Yamal
21%
Kylian Mbappé
10%
Rodri
9%
Lionel Messi
4%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
1%
Pau Cubarsi
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 53.5% implied probability due to his standout 2025-26 club campaign at Bayern Munich, where he delivered over 70 goal contributions while securing the Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, and DFL-Supercup, combined with a prolific World Cup showing for England. Lamine Yamal sits at 20.8% after captaining Spain to the 2026 World Cup title with exceptional playmaking and scoring as a teenager, adding La Liga and Supercopa honors, though traders view Kane's broader season consistency as the decisive edge. Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and Lionel Messi trail further back, reflecting strong but less dominant individual outputs amid team results, while lower-priced names like Ousmane Dembélé and Erling Haaland lack comparable recent trophy or statistical impact. The wisdom of crowds in these prices emphasizes the full European season plus international tournament as the key driver.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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