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Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

icon for Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane 28.0%

Lamine Yamal 18%

Ousmane Dembélé 13.7%

Vitinha 8.8%

Polymarket

$4,147,269 Vol.

Harry Kane 28.0%

Lamine Yamal 18%

Ousmane Dembélé 13.7%

Vitinha 8.8%

Polymarket

$4,147,269 Vol.

Harry Kane

$735,388 Vol.

28%

Lamine Yamal

$96,763 Vol.

18%

Ousmane Dembélé

$545,417 Vol.

14%

Vitinha

$71,613 Vol.

9%

Kylian Mbappé

$154,739 Vol.

9%

Michael Olise

$104,030 Vol.

8%

Declan Rice

$78,351 Vol.

4%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

$84,949 Vol.

4%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$75,458 Vol.

3%

Bruno Fernandes

$55,217 Vol.

2%

Achraf Hakimi

$36,359 Vol.

2%

Vinícius Júnior

$481,343 Vol.

2%

Erling Haaland

$277,917 Vol.

2%

Pedri

$291,061 Vol.

1%

Lautaro Martinez

$50,990 Vol.

1%

Julian Alvarez

$43,422 Vol.

1%

Desire Doue

$40,536 Vol.

1%

Luis Diaz

$47,233 Vol.

1%

Raphinha

$44,807 Vol.

1%

Jude Bellingham

$267,453 Vol.

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$330,264 Vol.

<1%

Cole Palmer

$101,827 Vol.

<1%

Federico Valverde

$45,692 Vol.

<1%

Dominik Szoboszlai

$87,540 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 28.1% implied probability after a dominant 2025-26 campaign that featured roughly 60 goals across competitions for Bayern Munich, domestic titles in the Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal, and consistent final-third production that outpaced peers. Lamine Yamal sits second at 18% on the back of Barcelona's La Liga success, his continued high goal-and-assist output, and status as a generational talent still under 20. Ousmane Dembélé (13.7%) and Michael Olise (8%) factor in via PSG's Champions League run and strong individual contributions in big matches, while Vitinha and Kylian Mbappé trail amid solid but less decisive club seasons. With the field wide open ahead of the 2026 World Cup, traders weigh domestic volume against potential international impact and voting recency from the prior award cycle.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$4,147,269
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 28.1% implied probability after a dominant 2025-26 campaign that featured roughly 60 goals across competitions for Bayern Munich, domestic titles in the Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal, and consistent final-third production that outpaced peers. Lamine Yamal sits second at 18% on the back of Barcelona's La Liga success, his continued high goal-and-assist output, and status as a generational talent still under 20. Ousmane Dembélé (13.7%) and Michael Olise (8%) factor in via PSG's Champions League run and strong individual contributions in big matches, while Vitinha and Kylian Mbappé trail amid solid but less decisive club seasons. With the field wide open ahead of the 2026 World Cup, traders weigh domestic volume against potential international impact and voting recency from the prior award cycle.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$4,147,269
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 24 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Harry Kane" sa 28%, sinusundan ng "Lamine Yamal" sa 18%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 28¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 28% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" ay naka-generate ng $4.1 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Sep 22, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026," i-browse ang 24 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" ay "Harry Kane" sa 28%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 28% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Lamine Yamal" sa 18%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.