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icon for Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Palakasan·Soccer

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

icon for Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Palakasan·Soccer

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane 54.2%

Lamine Yamal 24.1%

Kylian Mbappé 11.3%

Rodri 6%

Polymarket

$35,728,236 Vol.

Harry Kane 54.2%

Lamine Yamal 24.1%

Kylian Mbappé 11.3%

Rodri 6%

Polymarket

$35,728,236 Vol.

Harry Kane

$4,191,505 Vol.

54%

Lamine Yamal

$2,356,244 Vol.

24%

Kylian Mbappé

$2,267,748 Vol.

11%

Rodri

$1,745,727 Vol.

6%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

$1,632,704 Vol.

2%

Lionel Messi

$2,591,687 Vol.

2%

Ousmane Dembélé

$2,344,538 Vol.

1%

Fabian Ruiz

$1,248,277 Vol.

1%

Erling Haaland

$1,735,248 Vol.

<1%

Michael Olise

$1,817,868 Vol.

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$1,327,020 Vol.

<1%

Pau Cubarsi

$1,046,251 Vol.

<1%

Vinícius Júnior

$1,069,455 Vol.

<1%

Declan Rice

$900,685 Vol.

<1%

Vitinha

$853,145 Vol.

<1%

Achraf Hakimi

$740,086 Vol.

<1%

Bruno Fernandes

$711,222 Vol.

<1%

Luis Diaz

$440,734 Vol.

<1%

Lautaro Martinez

$492,016 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 54.1% implied probability due to his record goal tally of 61-73 across club and country, powering Bayern Munich to the Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal titles while captaining England to a World Cup semifinal or third-place finish. Trader positioning reflects Kane’s consistent output and leadership in a season heavy on individual metrics over collective silverware. Lamine Yamal sits second at 24.1% after Barcelona’s La Liga success and Spain’s World Cup triumph, though a late muscle injury limited his tournament impact. Kylian Mbappé at 11.3% and Rodri at 5.5% trail on strong scoring or Golden Ball showings without matching Kane’s volume or Yamal’s trophies, with the shortlist and post-World Cup betting shifts solidifying these gaps ahead of the October 26 ceremony.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$35,728,236
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 54.1% implied probability due to his record goal tally of 61-73 across club and country, powering Bayern Munich to the Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal titles while captaining England to a World Cup semifinal or third-place finish. Trader positioning reflects Kane’s consistent output and leadership in a season heavy on individual metrics over collective silverware. Lamine Yamal sits second at 24.1% after Barcelona’s La Liga success and Spain’s World Cup triumph, though a late muscle injury limited his tournament impact. Kylian Mbappé at 11.3% and Rodri at 5.5% trail on strong scoring or Golden Ball showings without matching Kane’s volume or Yamal’s trophies, with the shortlist and post-World Cup betting shifts solidifying these gaps ahead of the October 26 ceremony.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$35,728,236
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Kaugnay

icon for Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?

Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?

68%
icon for Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

92%
icon for Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

98%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 31 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Harry Kane" sa 54%, sinusundan ng "Lamine Yamal" sa 24%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 54¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 54% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" ay naka-generate ng $35.7 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Sep 22, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026," i-browse ang 31 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" ay "Harry Kane" sa 54%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 54% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Lamine Yamal" sa 24%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.