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Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Market icon

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane 30.3%

Michael Olise 16%

Lamine Yamal 16%

Kylian Mbappé 15%

Polymarket

$2,340,514 Vol.

Harry Kane 30.3%

Michael Olise 16%

Lamine Yamal 16%

Kylian Mbappé 15%

Polymarket

$2,340,514 Vol.

Harry Kane

$644,119 Vol.

30%

Michael Olise

$17,461 Vol.

16%

Lamine Yamal

$49,081 Vol.

16%

Kylian Mbappé

$81,740 Vol.

15%

Declan Rice

$6,354 Vol.

6%

Vitinha

$3,541 Vol.

6%

Ousmane Dembélé

$301,034 Vol.

6%

Julian Alvarez

$2,709 Vol.

1%

Erling Haaland

$236,553 Vol.

1%

Achraf Hakimi

$3,445 Vol.

1%

Jude Bellingham

$187,500 Vol.

1%

Desire Doue

$2,491 Vol.

1%

Lautaro Martinez

$3,716 Vol.

1%

Pedri

$205,098 Vol.

1%

Luis Diaz

$3,789 Vol.

1%

Cole Palmer

$30,645 Vol.

<1%

Bruno Fernandes

$2,336 Vol.

<1%

Federico Valverde

$2,435 Vol.

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$117,632 Vol.

<1%

Vinícius Júnior

$429,630 Vol.

<1%

Raphinha

$2,899 Vol.

<1%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

$2,599 Vol.

<1%

Dominik Szoboszlai

$2,013 Vol.

<1%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$1,693 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane commands a 30% implied probability as the trader consensus frontrunner for the 2026 Ballon d'Or, propelled by his 50-goal campaign across all competitions for Bayern Munich, capped by a starring role in their 4-3 thriller over Real Madrid (6-4 aggregate) to advance to UEFA Champions League semifinals two days ago. This dramatic quarterfinal elimination of Kylian Mbappé's Real Madrid, alongside Barcelona's shock exit to Atletico Madrid that derailed Lamine Yamal's breakout surge, boosts Kane and teammate Michael Olise (both at 15.5%) amid Bayern's Bundesliga dominance. Mbappé holds at 14.5% on 43 goals, but crowds prioritize knockout progression and the looming FIFA World Cup path.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$2,340,514
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane commands a 30% implied probability as the trader consensus frontrunner for the 2026 Ballon d'Or, propelled by his 50-goal campaign across all competitions for Bayern Munich, capped by a starring role in their 4-3 thriller over Real Madrid (6-4 aggregate) to advance to UEFA Champions League semifinals two days ago. This dramatic quarterfinal elimination of Kylian Mbappé's Real Madrid, alongside Barcelona's shock exit to Atletico Madrid that derailed Lamine Yamal's breakout surge, boosts Kane and teammate Michael Olise (both at 15.5%) amid Bayern's Bundesliga dominance. Mbappé holds at 14.5% on 43 goals, but crowds prioritize knockout progression and the looming FIFA World Cup path.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$2,340,514
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 24 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Harry Kane" sa 30%, sinusundan ng "Michael Olise" sa 16%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 30¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 30% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" ay naka-generate ng $2.3 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Sep 22, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026," i-browse ang 24 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" ay "Harry Kane" sa 30%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 30% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Michael Olise" sa 16%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.