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Palakasan·Soccer

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

icon for Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Palakasan·Soccer

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane 53.5%

Lamine Yamal 20.8%

Kylian Mbappé 9.8%

Rodri 9%

Polymarket

$24,378,444 Vol.

Harry Kane 53.5%

Lamine Yamal 20.8%

Kylian Mbappé 9.8%

Rodri 9%

Polymarket

$24,378,444 Vol.

Harry Kane

$2,757,636 Vol.

54%

Lamine Yamal

$1,595,638 Vol.

21%

Kylian Mbappé

$1,376,978 Vol.

10%

Rodri

$706,888 Vol.

9%

Lionel Messi

$1,690,971 Vol.

4%

Fabian Ruiz

$713,845 Vol.

1%

Ousmane Dembélé

$1,468,785 Vol.

1%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

$781,176 Vol.

1%

Pau Cubarsi

$617,435 Vol.

1%

Erling Haaland

$997,780 Vol.

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$915,582 Vol.

<1%

Michael Olise

$824,035 Vol.

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$1,013,974 Vol.

<1%

Vinícius Júnior

$1,056,200 Vol.

<1%

Pedri

$812,928 Vol.

<1%

Cole Palmer

$661,622 Vol.

<1%

Declan Rice

$532,181 Vol.

<1%

Vitinha

$487,121 Vol.

<1%

Julian Alvarez

$679,353 Vol.

<1%

Raphinha

$648,560 Vol.

<1%

Bruno Fernandes

$669,070 Vol.

<1%

Lautaro Martinez

$468,912 Vol.

<1%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$392,530 Vol.

<1%

Federico Valverde

$432,985 Vol.

<1%

Desire Doue

$585,185 Vol.

<1%

Achraf Hakimi

$605,899 Vol.

<1%

Luis Diaz

$419,025 Vol.

<1%

Enzo Fernandez

$65,053 Vol.

<1%

Dominik Szoboszlai

$167,259 Vol.

<1%

Rodrygo

$87,103 Vol.

<1%

Bukayo Saka

$146,735 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 53.5% implied probability due to his standout 2025-26 club campaign at Bayern Munich, where he delivered over 70 goal contributions while securing the Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, and DFL-Supercup, combined with a prolific World Cup showing for England. Lamine Yamal sits at 20.8% after captaining Spain to the 2026 World Cup title with exceptional playmaking and scoring as a teenager, adding La Liga and Supercopa honors, though traders view Kane's broader season consistency as the decisive edge. Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and Lionel Messi trail further back, reflecting strong but less dominant individual outputs amid team results, while lower-priced names like Ousmane Dembélé and Erling Haaland lack comparable recent trophy or statistical impact. The wisdom of crowds in these prices emphasizes the full European season plus international tournament as the key driver.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$24,378,444
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 53.5% implied probability due to his standout 2025-26 club campaign at Bayern Munich, where he delivered over 70 goal contributions while securing the Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, and DFL-Supercup, combined with a prolific World Cup showing for England. Lamine Yamal sits at 20.8% after captaining Spain to the 2026 World Cup title with exceptional playmaking and scoring as a teenager, adding La Liga and Supercopa honors, though traders view Kane's broader season consistency as the decisive edge. Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and Lionel Messi trail further back, reflecting strong but less dominant individual outputs amid team results, while lower-priced names like Ousmane Dembélé and Erling Haaland lack comparable recent trophy or statistical impact. The wisdom of crowds in these prices emphasizes the full European season plus international tournament as the key driver.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$24,378,444
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 31 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Harry Kane" sa 54%, sinusundan ng "Lamine Yamal" sa 21%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 54¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 54% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" ay naka-generate ng $24.4 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Sep 22, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026," i-browse ang 31 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" ay "Harry Kane" sa 54%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 54% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Lamine Yamal" sa 21%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.