Harry Kane leads trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d'Or at 53.5% implied probability after his standout goalscoring display in England's World Cup campaign, which has shifted momentum decisively in his favor. Lamine Yamal sits second at 20.8% on the strength of Spain's run and his continued elite form. Kylian Mbappé and Rodri follow at 9.8% and 8.5%, reflecting strong club and international contributions. Argentina's early exit has tempered Lionel Messi's chances at 4.0%. Recent tournament results and individual performances in the past month explain the current ordering, though the remainder of the club season could still influence final voting.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHarry Kane 53.5%
Lamine Yamal 20.8%
Kylian Mbappé 9.8%
Rodri 9%
$24,382,815 Vol.
$24,382,815 Vol.
Harry Kane
54%
Lamine Yamal
21%
Kylian Mbappé
10%
Rodri
9%
Lionel Messi
4%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
1%
Pau Cubarsi
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 53.5%
Lamine Yamal 20.8%
Kylian Mbappé 9.8%
Rodri 9%
$24,382,815 Vol.
$24,382,815 Vol.
Harry Kane
54%
Lamine Yamal
21%
Kylian Mbappé
10%
Rodri
9%
Lionel Messi
4%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
1%
Pau Cubarsi
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d'Or at 53.5% implied probability after his standout goalscoring display in England's World Cup campaign, which has shifted momentum decisively in his favor. Lamine Yamal sits second at 20.8% on the strength of Spain's run and his continued elite form. Kylian Mbappé and Rodri follow at 9.8% and 8.5%, reflecting strong club and international contributions. Argentina's early exit has tempered Lionel Messi's chances at 4.0%. Recent tournament results and individual performances in the past month explain the current ordering, though the remainder of the club season could still influence final voting.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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