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Eurovision 2026: Unang Semi - Final

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Unang Semi - Final

$475,047 Vol.

May 12, 2026
Polymarket

$475,047 Vol.

Polymarket
Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Finland

$334,215 Vol.

98%

Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Sweden

$3,137 Vol.

98%

Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Greece

$5,034 Vol.

97%

Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Israel

$19,737 Vol.

92%

Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Moldova

$18,870 Vol.

89%

Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Serbia

$6,334 Vol.

80%

Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Croatia

$7,990 Vol.

77%

Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Lithuania

$3,176 Vol.

66%

Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Montenegro

$6,185 Vol.

64%

Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Poland

$8,959 Vol.

48%

Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Portugal

$34,677 Vol.

40%

Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Estonia

$6,915 Vol.

36%

Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Georgia

$2,185 Vol.

34%

Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Belgium

$10,035 Vol.

31%

Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

San Marino

$7,598 Vol.

19%

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.As Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final looms on May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, trader sentiment centers on the April 2 running order reveal, which slotted frontrunner contenders like Sweden's Felicia ("My System") and Finland's Linda Lampenius x Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin") early, while Poland's Alicja ("Pray") and Serbia's Lavina ("Kraj mene") close the show. The 15 allocated entrants—from Moldova's opener Satoshi ("Viva, Moldova!") to San Marino's Senhit ("Superstar")—compete for 10 Grand Final qualification spots via combined jury and televote, with pre-qualified Germany and Italy as guest performers. Yesterday's digital album release boosts visibility, but upcoming artist rehearsals and flag parade could spark momentum shifts in this high-stakes televote-driven contest.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$475,047
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 12, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.As Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final looms on May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, trader sentiment centers on the April 2 running order reveal, which slotted frontrunner contenders like Sweden's Felicia ("My System") and Finland's Linda Lampenius x Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin") early, while Poland's Alicja ("Pray") and Serbia's Lavina ("Kraj mene") close the show. The 15 allocated entrants—from Moldova's opener Satoshi ("Viva, Moldova!") to San Marino's Senhit ("Superstar")—compete for 10 Grand Final qualification spots via combined jury and televote, with pre-qualified Germany and Italy as guest performers. Yesterday's digital album release boosts visibility, but upcoming artist rehearsals and flag parade could spark momentum shifts in this high-stakes televote-driven contest.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$475,047
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 12, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Eurovision 2026: Unang Semi - Final" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 15 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Finland" sa 98%, sinusundan ng "Sweden" sa 98%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 98¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 98% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Eurovision 2026: Unang Semi - Final" ay naka-generate ng $475K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jan 16, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Eurovision 2026: Unang Semi - Final," i-browse ang 15 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Eurovision 2026: Unang Semi - Final" ay "Finland" sa 98%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 98% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Sweden" sa 98%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Eurovision 2026: Unang Semi - Final" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.