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Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final

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Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final

$234,258 Vol.

May 14, 2026
Polymarket

$234,258 Vol.

Polymarket
Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Ukraine

$1,657 Vol.

95%

Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Australia

$11,855 Vol.

94%

Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Denmark

$714 Vol.

93%

Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Romania

$6,980 Vol.

83%

Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Bulgaria

$6,005 Vol.

83%

Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Cyprus

$17,121 Vol.

80%

Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Malta

$15,702 Vol.

76%

Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Czechia

$35,058 Vol.

71%

Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Norway

$4,888 Vol.

69%

Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Albania

$18,780 Vol.

65%

Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Latvia

$1,236 Vol.

54%

Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Switzerland

$74,454 Vol.

44%

Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Luxembourg

$22,175 Vol.

37%

Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Armenia

$11,887 Vol.

35%

Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Azerbaijan

$5,747 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The Second Semi-Final of Eurovision 2026, set for May 14 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, features 15 competing nations including frontrunner hopefuls like Australia's Delta Goodrem with "Eclipse," Ukraine's Leléka ("Ridnym"), and Switzerland's Veronica Fusaro ("Alice"), alongside entries from Azerbaijan, Romania, and Norway. Running order revealed on April 2 has sparked debate over advantageous slots, with Bulgaria opening and Denmark closing competitively. The digital album release on April 17 amplifies promotion amid a reduced 35-country field due to boycotts from Iceland, Ireland, Netherlands, Slovenia, and Spain over Israel's participation. Juries return to semis alongside televotes for the first time since 2022, favoring polished performances; first rehearsals loom late April, potentially shifting trader consensus on the top 10 qualifiers.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$234,258
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 14, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The Second Semi-Final of Eurovision 2026, set for May 14 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, features 15 competing nations including frontrunner hopefuls like Australia's Delta Goodrem with "Eclipse," Ukraine's Leléka ("Ridnym"), and Switzerland's Veronica Fusaro ("Alice"), alongside entries from Azerbaijan, Romania, and Norway. Running order revealed on April 2 has sparked debate over advantageous slots, with Bulgaria opening and Denmark closing competitively. The digital album release on April 17 amplifies promotion amid a reduced 35-country field due to boycotts from Iceland, Ireland, Netherlands, Slovenia, and Spain over Israel's participation. Juries return to semis alongside televotes for the first time since 2022, favoring polished performances; first rehearsals loom late April, potentially shifting trader consensus on the top 10 qualifiers.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$234,258
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 14, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 15 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Ukraine" sa 95%, sinusundan ng "Australia" sa 94%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 95¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 95% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final" ay naka-generate ng $234.3K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jan 16, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final," i-browse ang 15 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final" ay "Ukraine" sa 95%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 95% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Australia" sa 94%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.