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icon for Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?
Politics·Bolivia

Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?

icon for Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?
Politics·Bolivia

Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?

$11,636 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$11,636 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for May 31

May 31

$8,177 Vol.

No

icon for June 30

June 30

$3,459 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Evo Morales has left Bolivia for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. In cases where Evo Morales may have exited Bolivian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Bolivia for this market to resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian territory by land into another country, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Evo Morales left Bolivia, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Evo Morales remains in Bolivia’s Chapare region, his longtime political base, while facing active arrest warrants tied to statutory rape allegations and contempt charges after repeated court no-shows. Recent months have seen heightened unrest, with his supporters joining nationwide protests against President Rodrigo Paz amid economic pressures, including clashes reported in May and June 2026. Morales has publicly vowed to stay and resist, echoing past statements that quelled earlier rumors of departure during his 2025–2026 absences. Traders weigh these legal risks and protest dynamics against his entrenched local support and constitutional barriers to higher office, alongside any potential shifts in government enforcement or regional election timelines that could alter his position.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Evo Morales has left Bolivia for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

In cases where Evo Morales may have exited Bolivian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Bolivia for this market to resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian territory by land into another country, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to “Yes”.

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Evo Morales left Bolivia, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$11,636
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Evo Morales has left Bolivia for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. In cases where Evo Morales may have exited Bolivian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Bolivia for this market to resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian territory by land into another country, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Evo Morales left Bolivia, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Evo Morales has left Bolivia for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. In cases where Evo Morales may have exited Bolivian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Bolivia for this market to resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian territory by land into another country, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Evo Morales left Bolivia, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Evo Morales remains in Bolivia’s Chapare region, his longtime political base, while facing active arrest warrants tied to statutory rape allegations and contempt charges after repeated court no-shows. Recent months have seen heightened unrest, with his supporters joining nationwide protests against President Rodrigo Paz amid economic pressures, including clashes reported in May and June 2026. Morales has publicly vowed to stay and resist, echoing past statements that quelled earlier rumors of departure during his 2025–2026 absences. Traders weigh these legal risks and protest dynamics against his entrenched local support and constitutional barriers to higher office, alongside any potential shifts in government enforcement or regional election timelines that could alter his position.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Evo Morales has left Bolivia for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

In cases where Evo Morales may have exited Bolivian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Bolivia for this market to resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian territory by land into another country, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to “Yes”.

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Evo Morales left Bolivia, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$11,636
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Evo Morales has left Bolivia for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. In cases where Evo Morales may have exited Bolivian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Bolivia for this market to resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian territory by land into another country, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Evo Morales left Bolivia, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 2 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "May 31" sa 0%, sinusundan ng "June 30" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 0¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 0% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?" ay naka-generate ng $11.6K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong May 21, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?," i-browse ang 2 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Isa itong wide-open market. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna para sa "Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?" ay "May 31" sa 0% lang, na may "June 30" na malapit sa likod sa 0%. Walang outcome na may malakas na mayorya, kaya nakikita ito ng mga trader bilang highly uncertain, na maaaring magbigay ng mga kakaibang trading opportunity. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time, kaya i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para panoorin kung paano nag-e-evolve ang probabilities.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.