Recent mistrial declarations in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrial, including the May 2026 deadlocked jury on the Jessica Mann charge, have fueled trader sentiment toward “No Prison Time” at 78.7% implied probability. Ongoing appeals of his 16-year California conviction and the pending New York sentencing on the Miriam Haley count introduce substantial uncertainty, while the 74-year-old producer’s documented health complications at Rikers Island further complicate any additional incarceration timeline. These legal and personal factors outweigh the risk of new convictions in a closely watched case still shaped by #MeToo precedent and appeals court reversals.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHarvey Weinstein bilangguan oras?
Harvey Weinstein bilangguan oras?
Walang Oras sa Kulungan 78.8%
20-30 taon 8.6%
10-20 taon 6.6%
Mas mababa sa 5 taon 3.7%
$1,064,957 Vol.
$1,064,957 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
Walang Oras sa Kulungan
79%
Mas mababa sa 5 taon
4%
5-10 years
2%
10-20 taon
7%
20-30 taon
9%
Higit sa 30 taon
3%
Walang Oras sa Kulungan 78.8%
20-30 taon 8.6%
10-20 taon 6.6%
Mas mababa sa 5 taon 3.7%
$1,064,957 Vol.
$1,064,957 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
Walang Oras sa Kulungan
$372,963 Vol.
79%
Mas mababa sa 5 taon
$139,315 Vol.
4%
5-10 years
$88,560 Vol.
2%
10-20 taon
$168,172 Vol.
7%
20-30 taon
$211,358 Vol.
9%
Higit sa 30 taon
$84,589 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent mistrial declarations in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrial, including the May 2026 deadlocked jury on the Jessica Mann charge, have fueled trader sentiment toward “No Prison Time” at 78.7% implied probability. Ongoing appeals of his 16-year California conviction and the pending New York sentencing on the Miriam Haley count introduce substantial uncertainty, while the 74-year-old producer’s documented health complications at Rikers Island further complicate any additional incarceration timeline. These legal and personal factors outweigh the risk of new convictions in a closely watched case still shaped by #MeToo precedent and appeals court reversals.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Volume
$1,064,957Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2025Binuksan ang Market
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent mistrial declarations in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrial, including the May 2026 deadlocked jury on the Jessica Mann charge, have fueled trader sentiment toward “No Prison Time” at 78.7% implied probability. Ongoing appeals of his 16-year California conviction and the pending New York sentencing on the Miriam Haley count introduce substantial uncertainty, while the 74-year-old producer’s documented health complications at Rikers Island further complicate any additional incarceration timeline. These legal and personal factors outweigh the risk of new convictions in a closely watched case still shaped by #MeToo precedent and appeals court reversals.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,064,957Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2025Binuksan ang Market
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent mistrial declarations in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrial, including the May 2026 deadlocked jury on the Jessica Mann charge, have fueled trader sentiment toward “No Prison Time” at 78.7% implied probability. Ongoing appeals of his 16-year California conviction and the pending New York sentencing on the Miriam Haley count introduce substantial uncertainty, while the 74-year-old producer’s documented health complications at Rikers Island further complicate any additional incarceration timeline. These legal and personal factors outweigh the risk of new convictions in a closely watched case still shaped by #MeToo precedent and appeals court reversals.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong