Recent mistrials in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrials, including the May 2026 jury deadlock on the Jessica Mann charge, have driven trader consensus toward the No Prison Time outcome at 81.3%. The 2024 overturn of his original New York conviction and the mixed 2025 retrial verdict limited additional exposure, while ongoing appeals of the consecutive 16-year California sentence face skeptical appellate review. Weinstein’s documented health challenges and time already served at Rikers Island further reinforce the view that further lengthy incarceration remains unlikely absent successful new prosecutions. Upcoming rulings on whether prosecutors pursue another retrial or the status of California appeals represent key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHarvey Weinstein bilangguan oras?
Harvey Weinstein bilangguan oras?
Walang Oras sa Kulungan 81.7%
20-30 taon 7.2%
10-20 taon 4.3%
Higit sa 30 taon 3.6%
$1,065,132 Vol.
$1,065,132 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
Walang Oras sa Kulungan
82%
Mas mababa sa 5 taon
3%
5-10 years
2%
10-20 taon
4%
20-30 taon
7%
Higit sa 30 taon
4%
Walang Oras sa Kulungan 81.7%
20-30 taon 7.2%
10-20 taon 4.3%
Higit sa 30 taon 3.6%
$1,065,132 Vol.
$1,065,132 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
Walang Oras sa Kulungan
$372,992 Vol.
82%
Mas mababa sa 5 taon
$139,342 Vol.
3%
5-10 years
$88,620 Vol.
2%
10-20 taon
$168,180 Vol.
4%
20-30 taon
$211,381 Vol.
7%
Higit sa 30 taon
$84,617 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent mistrials in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrials, including the May 2026 jury deadlock on the Jessica Mann charge, have driven trader consensus toward the No Prison Time outcome at 81.3%. The 2024 overturn of his original New York conviction and the mixed 2025 retrial verdict limited additional exposure, while ongoing appeals of the consecutive 16-year California sentence face skeptical appellate review. Weinstein’s documented health challenges and time already served at Rikers Island further reinforce the view that further lengthy incarceration remains unlikely absent successful new prosecutions. Upcoming rulings on whether prosecutors pursue another retrial or the status of California appeals represent key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Volume
$1,065,132Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2025Binuksan ang Market
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent mistrials in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrials, including the May 2026 jury deadlock on the Jessica Mann charge, have driven trader consensus toward the No Prison Time outcome at 81.3%. The 2024 overturn of his original New York conviction and the mixed 2025 retrial verdict limited additional exposure, while ongoing appeals of the consecutive 16-year California sentence face skeptical appellate review. Weinstein’s documented health challenges and time already served at Rikers Island further reinforce the view that further lengthy incarceration remains unlikely absent successful new prosecutions. Upcoming rulings on whether prosecutors pursue another retrial or the status of California appeals represent key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,065,132Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2025Binuksan ang Market
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent mistrials in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrials, including the May 2026 jury deadlock on the Jessica Mann charge, have driven trader consensus toward the No Prison Time outcome at 81.3%. The 2024 overturn of his original New York conviction and the mixed 2025 retrial verdict limited additional exposure, while ongoing appeals of the consecutive 16-year California sentence face skeptical appellate review. Weinstein’s documented health challenges and time already served at Rikers Island further reinforce the view that further lengthy incarceration remains unlikely absent successful new prosecutions. Upcoming rulings on whether prosecutors pursue another retrial or the status of California appeals represent key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong