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icon for Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
Politika·Turnout

Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

icon for Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
Politika·Turnout

Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

600K-650K 44%

650K-700K 44%

850K-900K 44%

800K-850K 43%

Polymarket
BAGO

600K-650K 44%

650K-700K 44%

850K-900K 44%

800K-850K 43%

Polymarket
BAGO

<600K

$0 Vol.

42%

600K-650K

$0 Vol.

44%

650K-700K

$0 Vol.

44%

700K-750K

$0 Vol.

42%

750K-800K

$0 Vol.

43%

800K-850K

$0 Vol.

43%

850K-900K

$0 Vol.

44%

900K+

$0 Vol.

43%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive 2026 Maine Senate race between incumbent Republican Susan Collins and Democratic nominee Troy Jackson remains the central driver of trader sentiment on first-round turnout. Recent polling shows a narrow Jackson lead or statistical tie among likely voters, reflecting the state's partisan lean and Jackson's late selection via party convention after the prior nominee's withdrawal. High historical midterm participation rates, combined with mobilization around issues such as abortion rights and labor priorities, support expectations for solid but not exceptional overall volume. The tight clustering of outcome probabilities around mid-range brackets underscores uncertainty over how much the contest's visibility and ranked-choice voting mechanics will boost participation relative to baseline eligible-voter trends. Late-cycle developments including candidate events, endorsements, or weather could widen separation by altering turnout among independents and key demographic groups.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 18, 2026, 10:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive 2026 Maine Senate race between incumbent Republican Susan Collins and Democratic nominee Troy Jackson remains the central driver of trader sentiment on first-round turnout. Recent polling shows a narrow Jackson lead or statistical tie among likely voters, reflecting the state's partisan lean and Jackson's late selection via party convention after the prior nominee's withdrawal. High historical midterm participation rates, combined with mobilization around issues such as abortion rights and labor priorities, support expectations for solid but not exceptional overall volume. The tight clustering of outcome probabilities around mid-range brackets underscores uncertainty over how much the contest's visibility and ranked-choice voting mechanics will boost participation relative to baseline eligible-voter trends. Late-cycle developments including candidate events, endorsements, or weather could widen separation by altering turnout among independents and key demographic groups.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 18, 2026, 10:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kaugnay

icon for Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,350,000 and 2,500,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,350,000 and 2,500,000?

45%
icon for Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be less than 500,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be less than 500,000?

44%
icon for Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?

43%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 8 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "600K-650K" sa 44%, sinusundan ng "650K-700K" sa 44%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 44¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 44% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 18, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)," i-browse ang 8 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)" ay "600K-650K" sa 44%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 44% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "650K-700K" sa 44%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.