The Mato Grosso do Sul Senate race for the two seats up in the October 2026 election features a fragmented field of roughly ten registered candidates, with recent August polls from institutes such as Ranking Brasil and Real Time Big Data showing Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) and Capitão Contar (PL) leading or tied near the top alongside Nelsinho Trad (PSD), while Vander Loubet (PT), Soraya Thronicke (PSB), and several others trail in the mid-teens or lower. This produces tight implied probabilities for second place because bloc voting, party alliances, and undecided voters create shifting margins among the top four or five contenders rather than a clear frontrunner. Internal PL negotiations over which name advances alongside Azambuja, combined with the absence of a dominant incumbent advantage, keep the ordering fluid. Fresh polling releases, formal endorsements from state or national figures, or late campaign developments within the next eight weeks could widen gaps by clarifying voter consolidation behind one or two names.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateCapitão Contar 40%
Roberto Oshiro 29%
Daniel Junior 25%
Soraya 24%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Contar
40%
Roberto Oshiro
29%
Daniel Junior
25%
Soraya
24%
Beto do Movimento
24%
Valter da Comagran
23%
Vander Loubet
22%
Reinaldo Azambuja
18%
Luiz Lemes
16%
Valderi Garcia
14%
Capitão Contar 40%
Roberto Oshiro 29%
Daniel Junior 25%
Soraya 24%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Contar
$140 Vol.
40%
Roberto Oshiro
$0 Vol.
29%
Daniel Junior
$0 Vol.
25%
Soraya
$0 Vol.
24%
Beto do Movimento
$0 Vol.
24%
Valter da Comagran
$0 Vol.
23%
Vander Loubet
$0 Vol.
22%
Reinaldo Azambuja
$0 Vol.
18%
Luiz Lemes
$0 Vol.
16%
Valderi Garcia
$0 Vol.
14%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Mato Grosso do Sul Senate race for the two seats up in the October 2026 election features a fragmented field of roughly ten registered candidates, with recent August polls from institutes such as Ranking Brasil and Real Time Big Data showing Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) and Capitão Contar (PL) leading or tied near the top alongside Nelsinho Trad (PSD), while Vander Loubet (PT), Soraya Thronicke (PSB), and several others trail in the mid-teens or lower. This produces tight implied probabilities for second place because bloc voting, party alliances, and undecided voters create shifting margins among the top four or five contenders rather than a clear frontrunner. Internal PL negotiations over which name advances alongside Azambuja, combined with the absence of a dominant incumbent advantage, keep the ordering fluid. Fresh polling releases, formal endorsements from state or national figures, or late campaign developments within the next eight weeks could widen gaps by clarifying voter consolidation behind one or two names.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$140Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Mato Grosso do Sul Senate race for the two seats up in the October 2026 election features a fragmented field of roughly ten registered candidates, with recent August polls from institutes such as Ranking Brasil and Real Time Big Data showing Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) and Capitão Contar (PL) leading or tied near the top alongside Nelsinho Trad (PSD), while Vander Loubet (PT), Soraya Thronicke (PSB), and several others trail in the mid-teens or lower. This produces tight implied probabilities for second place because bloc voting, party alliances, and undecided voters create shifting margins among the top four or five contenders rather than a clear frontrunner. Internal PL negotiations over which name advances alongside Azambuja, combined with the absence of a dominant incumbent advantage, keep the ordering fluid. Fresh polling releases, formal endorsements from state or national figures, or late campaign developments within the next eight weeks could widen gaps by clarifying voter consolidation behind one or two names.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$140Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Mato Grosso do Sul Senate race for the two seats up in the October 2026 election features a fragmented field of roughly ten registered candidates, with recent August polls from institutes such as Ranking Brasil and Real Time Big Data showing Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) and Capitão Contar (PL) leading or tied near the top alongside Nelsinho Trad (PSD), while Vander Loubet (PT), Soraya Thronicke (PSB), and several others trail in the mid-teens or lower. This produces tight implied probabilities for second place because bloc voting, party alliances, and undecided voters create shifting margins among the top four or five contenders rather than a clear frontrunner. Internal PL negotiations over which name advances alongside Azambuja, combined with the absence of a dominant incumbent advantage, keep the ordering fluid. Fresh polling releases, formal endorsements from state or national figures, or late campaign developments within the next eight weeks could widen gaps by clarifying voter consolidation behind one or two names.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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