Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 49.5% probability for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) closing below $23,500 in December—slightly ahead of 43.4% for above $36,000—with middle bins clustered at 39-41.5%, highlighting polarized sentiment from current levels near 26,500. Hawkish Federal Reserve communications, pricing no rate cuts through 2026 amid sticky inflation above target, fuel downside positioning by pressuring tech valuations and multiple expansion. Bullish counter-forces stem from last week's record highs, propelled by strong big tech earnings and sustained AI capital expenditure trends. Differentiating factors include Q1 earnings beats from Magnificent Seven names, May FOMC dot plot updates, and April CPI releases; persistent jobless claims above 220,000 could tip toward recessionary lows, while sub-4% unemployment sustains rally hopes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhat will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close at in December?
What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close at in December?
$23,500-$25,000 77%
$30,500-$33,000 41%
$26,500-$28,500 41%
$25,000-$26,500 40%
BAGO
BAGO
Dec 31, 2026
<$23,500
51%
$23,500-$25,000
77%
$25,000-$26,500
40%
$26,500-$28,500
41%
$28,500-$30,500
-
$30,500-$33,000
41%
$33,000-$36,000
40%
>$36,000
43%
$23,500-$25,000 77%
$30,500-$33,000 41%
$26,500-$28,500 41%
$25,000-$26,500 40%
BAGO
BAGO
Dec 31, 2026
<$23,500
$0 Vol.
51%
$23,500-$25,000
$10 Vol.
77%
$25,000-$26,500
$0 Vol.
40%
$26,500-$28,500
$0 Vol.
41%
$28,500-$30,500
$0 Vol.
-
$30,500-$33,000
$0 Vol.
41%
$33,000-$36,000
$0 Vol.
40%
>$36,000
$42 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 49.5% probability for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) closing below $23,500 in December—slightly ahead of 43.4% for above $36,000—with middle bins clustered at 39-41.5%, highlighting polarized sentiment from current levels near 26,500. Hawkish Federal Reserve communications, pricing no rate cuts through 2026 amid sticky inflation above target, fuel downside positioning by pressuring tech valuations and multiple expansion. Bullish counter-forces stem from last week's record highs, propelled by strong big tech earnings and sustained AI capital expenditure trends. Differentiating factors include Q1 earnings beats from Magnificent Seven names, May FOMC dot plot updates, and April CPI releases; persistent jobless claims above 220,000 could tip toward recessionary lows, while sub-4% unemployment sustains rally hopes.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 6, 2026, 9:39 PM ET
Volume
$52Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 6, 2026, 9:39 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 49.5% probability for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) closing below $23,500 in December—slightly ahead of 43.4% for above $36,000—with middle bins clustered at 39-41.5%, highlighting polarized sentiment from current levels near 26,500. Hawkish Federal Reserve communications, pricing no rate cuts through 2026 amid sticky inflation above target, fuel downside positioning by pressuring tech valuations and multiple expansion. Bullish counter-forces stem from last week's record highs, propelled by strong big tech earnings and sustained AI capital expenditure trends. Differentiating factors include Q1 earnings beats from Magnificent Seven names, May FOMC dot plot updates, and April CPI releases; persistent jobless claims above 220,000 could tip toward recessionary lows, while sub-4% unemployment sustains rally hopes.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$52Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 6, 2026, 9:39 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 49.5% probability for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) closing below $23,500 in December—slightly ahead of 43.4% for above $36,000—with middle bins clustered at 39-41.5%, highlighting polarized sentiment from current levels near 26,500. Hawkish Federal Reserve communications, pricing no rate cuts through 2026 amid sticky inflation above target, fuel downside positioning by pressuring tech valuations and multiple expansion. Bullish counter-forces stem from last week's record highs, propelled by strong big tech earnings and sustained AI capital expenditure trends. Differentiating factors include Q1 earnings beats from Magnificent Seven names, May FOMC dot plot updates, and April CPI releases; persistent jobless claims above 220,000 could tip toward recessionary lows, while sub-4% unemployment sustains rally hopes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong