Incumbent Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte holds a substantial lead in New Hampshire’s 2026 gubernatorial race, reflected in the market’s strong consensus behind her reelection. Recent University of New Hampshire and other polls from August and September show her ahead by double digits, with her approval rating rising and support among independents and Republicans holding firm. Ayotte secured her party’s nomination easily in the September 8 primary and has secured major endorsements from law enforcement groups, while maintaining a significant fundraising edge. Warmington, the unopposed Democratic nominee and former executive councilor, has focused attacks on cost-of-living issues but has not narrowed the gap in recent surveys. Historical patterns of New Hampshire incumbents winning reelection further support trader positioning in this contest.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNew Hampshire Governor Election Winner
$24,903 Vol.
$24,903 Vol.

Kelly Ayotte (R)
90%

Cinde Warmington (D)
10%
$24,903 Vol.
$24,903 Vol.

Kelly Ayotte (R)
90%

Cinde Warmington (D)
10%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte holds a substantial lead in New Hampshire’s 2026 gubernatorial race, reflected in the market’s strong consensus behind her reelection. Recent University of New Hampshire and other polls from August and September show her ahead by double digits, with her approval rating rising and support among independents and Republicans holding firm. Ayotte secured her party’s nomination easily in the September 8 primary and has secured major endorsements from law enforcement groups, while maintaining a significant fundraising edge. Warmington, the unopposed Democratic nominee and former executive councilor, has focused attacks on cost-of-living issues but has not narrowed the gap in recent surveys. Historical patterns of New Hampshire incumbents winning reelection further support trader positioning in this contest.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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