Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a consistent lead in recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College polls against Democratic Executive Councilor Cinde Warmington, with margins of 5–8 points among likely voters ahead of the September 8 primaries and November 3 general election. Ayotte’s incumbency, combined with ratings from the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classifying the race as Likely R, supports trader positioning at 79% Republican. Warmington’s path depends on consolidating Democratic support in a state that has alternated parties in recent cycles, though current polling averages and the absence of major shifts in candidate filings or endorsements keep the Democratic probability at 20.7%.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$11,665 Vol.
$11,665 Vol.

Republican
79%

Democrat
21%
$11,665 Vol.
$11,665 Vol.

Republican
79%

Democrat
21%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a consistent lead in recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College polls against Democratic Executive Councilor Cinde Warmington, with margins of 5–8 points among likely voters ahead of the September 8 primaries and November 3 general election. Ayotte’s incumbency, combined with ratings from the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classifying the race as Likely R, supports trader positioning at 79% Republican. Warmington’s path depends on consolidating Democratic support in a state that has alternated parties in recent cycles, though current polling averages and the absence of major shifts in candidate filings or endorsements keep the Democratic probability at 20.7%.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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