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icon for Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner
Mundo·Tonga

Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner

icon for Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner
Mundo·Tonga

Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner

'Aisake Hoatatau Finau 48%

Sione Tuifio Hui 48%

Sitiveni Selui 46%

'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana 44%

Polymarket
BAGO

'Aisake Hoatatau Finau 48%

Sione Tuifio Hui 48%

Sitiveni Selui 46%

'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana 44%

Polymarket
BAGO

'Aisake Hoatatau Finau

$0 Vol.

48%

Sione Tuifio Hui

$0 Vol.

48%

Sitiveni Selui

$0 Vol.

46%

'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana

$0 Vol.

44%

Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala

$0 Vol.

35%

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The Ongo Niua 17 by-election, scheduled for 8 October 2026, stems from the Supreme Court’s invalidation of the 2025 result on bribery grounds. Five candidates—‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau, Sitiveni Selui, Paea ‘i Vaha Filimoehala, Sione Tuifio Hui, and ‘Aminiasi Tonga Pau’u Tangimana—registered after nominations closed in early September, each drawing support from distinct villages across the small, remote constituency. Trader consensus remains tightly clustered near even odds because the electorate is limited in size, candidates run as independents without party structures to consolidate votes, and no single contender has yet established a decisive edge through public campaigning or endorsements. Factors that could widen gaps include village-level mobilization, any late candidate withdrawals or alliances, official confirmation of the final electoral roll, or developments in the parallel Tongatapu 2 by-election that influence broader perceptions of electoral integrity ahead of polling day.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 8, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The Ongo Niua 17 by-election, scheduled for 8 October 2026, stems from the Supreme Court’s invalidation of the 2025 result on bribery grounds. Five candidates—‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau, Sitiveni Selui, Paea ‘i Vaha Filimoehala, Sione Tuifio Hui, and ‘Aminiasi Tonga Pau’u Tangimana—registered after nominations closed in early September, each drawing support from distinct villages across the small, remote constituency. Trader consensus remains tightly clustered near even odds because the electorate is limited in size, candidates run as independents without party structures to consolidate votes, and no single contender has yet established a decisive edge through public campaigning or endorsements. Factors that could widen gaps include village-level mobilization, any late candidate withdrawals or alliances, official confirmation of the final electoral roll, or developments in the parallel Tongatapu 2 by-election that influence broader perceptions of electoral integrity ahead of polling day.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 8, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "'Aisake Hoatatau Finau" sa 48%, sinusundan ng "Sione Tuifio Hui" sa 48%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 48¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 48% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Sep 9, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner" ay "'Aisake Hoatatau Finau" sa 48%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 48% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Sione Tuifio Hui" sa 48%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.