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Politika·Brazil

Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politika·Brazil

Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place

Samuel Timoteo 23%

Mendonça Filho 22%

Paulo Rubem Santiago 22%

Pastor Gilvan Costa 22%

Polymarket
BAGO

Samuel Timoteo 23%

Mendonça Filho 22%

Paulo Rubem Santiago 22%

Pastor Gilvan Costa 22%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Samuel Timoteo

Samuel Timoteo

$0 Vol.

23%

icon for Mendonça Filho

Mendonça Filho

$0 Vol.

22%

icon for Paulo Rubem Santiago

Paulo Rubem Santiago

$0 Vol.

22%

icon for Pastor Gilvan Costa

Pastor Gilvan Costa

$0 Vol.

22%

icon for Eduardo da Fonte

Eduardo da Fonte

$0 Vol.

21%

icon for Túlio Gadêlha

Túlio Gadêlha

$0 Vol.

21%

icon for Gorett Bitu

Gorett Bitu

$0 Vol.

21%

icon for Mariano Macedo

Mariano Macedo

$0 Vol.

21%

icon for Mailson da Silva Neto

Mailson da Silva Neto

$0 Vol.

21%

icon for Marília Arraes

Marília Arraes

$0 Vol.

21%

icon for Humberto Costa

Humberto Costa

$0 Vol.

21%

icon for Carlos Sant'Anna

Carlos Sant'Anna

$0 Vol.

20%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Pernambuco's Senate race for two seats shows a fragmented field of roughly a dozen registered candidates ahead of the October 4 vote, with Marília Arraes (PDT) leading but several others clustered tightly behind. Latest surveys place Humberto Costa (PT) and Mendonça Filho (PL) in a technical tie for second, while names such as Túlio Gadêlha, Eduardo da Fonte, and others remain within a narrow band. This positioning reflects the state's multi-candidate dynamics, recent convention deadlines that finalized the slate, and limited differentiation on key state issues. Further polling releases, campaign alliances, or shifts in turnout among major voting blocs could quickly reorder the second-place contenders before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Pernambuco's Senate race for two seats shows a fragmented field of roughly a dozen registered candidates ahead of the October 4 vote, with Marília Arraes (PDT) leading but several others clustered tightly behind. Latest surveys place Humberto Costa (PT) and Mendonça Filho (PL) in a technical tie for second, while names such as Túlio Gadêlha, Eduardo da Fonte, and others remain within a narrow band. This positioning reflects the state's multi-candidate dynamics, recent convention deadlines that finalized the slate, and limited differentiation on key state issues. Further polling releases, campaign alliances, or shifts in turnout among major voting blocs could quickly reorder the second-place contenders before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Kaugnay

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Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?

78%
icon for Will João Batista win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

Will João Batista win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

24%
icon for Will Professor Guilherme Amorim win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?

Will Professor Guilherme Amorim win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?

24%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 12 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Samuel Timoteo" sa 23%, sinusundan ng "Mendonça Filho" sa 22%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 23¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 23% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 17, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place," i-browse ang 12 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place" ay "Samuel Timoteo" sa 23%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 23% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Mendonça Filho" sa 22%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.