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SD-AL Democratic Primary Winner

icon for SD-AL Democratic Primary Winner

SD-AL Democratic Primary Winner

Nikki Gronli 99.5%

Scott Schlagel <1%

Billy Mawhiney <1%

Polymarket

$15,990 Vol.

Nikki Gronli 99.5%

Scott Schlagel <1%

Billy Mawhiney <1%

Polymarket

$15,990 Vol.

Billy Mawhiney

$7,148 Vol.

No

Nikki Gronli

$3,059 Vol.

Yes

Scott Schlagel

$5,784 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Nikki Gronli holds a commanding position in the South Dakota at-large Democratic primary because other candidates withdrew, canceling the June 2 contest and leaving her as the automatic nominee. Her background as former state director for USDA Rural Development, combined with early fundraising strength and party ties, consolidated support after initial challengers like Billy Mawhiney exited earlier in the cycle. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, as no viable alternative remains on the ballot. Residual uncertainty is minimal and tied only to formal certification processes, with no scheduled events or developments likely to alter the outcome before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$15,990
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 2, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Na-propose ang outcome: Yes

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Yes

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Nikki Gronli holds a commanding position in the South Dakota at-large Democratic primary because other candidates withdrew, canceling the June 2 contest and leaving her as the automatic nominee. Her background as former state director for USDA Rural Development, combined with early fundraising strength and party ties, consolidated support after initial challengers like Billy Mawhiney exited earlier in the cycle. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, as no viable alternative remains on the ballot. Residual uncertainty is minimal and tied only to formal certification processes, with no scheduled events or developments likely to alter the outcome before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$15,990
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 2, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Na-propose ang outcome: Yes

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Yes

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "SD-AL Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 3 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Nikki Gronli" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "Billy Mawhiney" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "SD-AL Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $16K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Mar 3, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "SD-AL Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 3 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "SD-AL Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Nikki Gronli" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Billy Mawhiney" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "SD-AL Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.