Tarcísio de Freitas maintains overwhelming trader support in the São Paulo gubernatorial race due to his position as incumbent with consistent double-digit leads in recent polls against main challenger Fernando Haddad. High approval ratings for his administration, including figures near 62 percent in mid-2026 surveys, reflect broad voter backing in Brazil's most populous state ahead of the October 4 vote. Fragmented opposition and limited polling for alternatives such as Erika Hilton further reinforce the consensus. Late developments that could alter outcomes include major scandals, health events affecting the frontrunner, or unexpected national political shifts influencing state turnout and preferences.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateTarcísio de Freitas 96.6%
Fernando Haddad 3.1%
Erika Hilton <1%
Kim Kataguiri <1%
$284,393 Vol.
$284,393 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Tarcísio de Freitas
97%
Fernando Haddad
3%
Erika Hilton
1%
Kim Kataguiri
<1%
Márcio França
<1%
Tarcísio de Freitas 96.6%
Fernando Haddad 3.1%
Erika Hilton <1%
Kim Kataguiri <1%
$284,393 Vol.
$284,393 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Tarcísio de Freitas
$127,129 Vol.
97%
Fernando Haddad
$47,839 Vol.
3%
Erika Hilton
$22,704 Vol.
1%
Kim Kataguiri
$76,052 Vol.
<1%
Márcio França
$10,668 Vol.
<1%
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Tarcísio de Freitas maintains overwhelming trader support in the São Paulo gubernatorial race due to his position as incumbent with consistent double-digit leads in recent polls against main challenger Fernando Haddad. High approval ratings for his administration, including figures near 62 percent in mid-2026 surveys, reflect broad voter backing in Brazil's most populous state ahead of the October 4 vote. Fragmented opposition and limited polling for alternatives such as Erika Hilton further reinforce the consensus. Late developments that could alter outcomes include major scandals, health events affecting the frontrunner, or unexpected national political shifts influencing state turnout and preferences.
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ET
Volume
$284,393Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Tarcísio de Freitas maintains overwhelming trader support in the São Paulo gubernatorial race due to his position as incumbent with consistent double-digit leads in recent polls against main challenger Fernando Haddad. High approval ratings for his administration, including figures near 62 percent in mid-2026 surveys, reflect broad voter backing in Brazil's most populous state ahead of the October 4 vote. Fragmented opposition and limited polling for alternatives such as Erika Hilton further reinforce the consensus. Late developments that could alter outcomes include major scandals, health events affecting the frontrunner, or unexpected national political shifts influencing state turnout and preferences.
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$284,393Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tarcísio de Freitas maintains overwhelming trader support in the São Paulo gubernatorial race due to his position as incumbent with consistent double-digit leads in recent polls against main challenger Fernando Haddad. High approval ratings for his administration, including figures near 62 percent in mid-2026 surveys, reflect broad voter backing in Brazil's most populous state ahead of the October 4 vote. Fragmented opposition and limited polling for alternatives such as Erika Hilton further reinforce the consensus. Late developments that could alter outcomes include major scandals, health events affecting the frontrunner, or unexpected national political shifts influencing state turnout and preferences.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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