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Politika·Brazil

Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politika·Brazil

Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place

Vanderlei Luxemburgo 27%

Apóstolo Flavio Braga 26%

Eduardo Gomes 23%

Eli Borges 22%

Polymarket
BAGO

Vanderlei Luxemburgo 27%

Apóstolo Flavio Braga 26%

Eduardo Gomes 23%

Eli Borges 22%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Vanderlei Luxemburgo

Vanderlei Luxemburgo

$60 Vol.

27%

icon for Apóstolo Flavio Braga

Apóstolo Flavio Braga

$60 Vol.

26%

icon for Eduardo Gomes

Eduardo Gomes

$60 Vol.

23%

icon for Eli Borges

Eli Borges

$80 Vol.

22%

icon for Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

$60 Vol.

22%

icon for Professor Osvaldo

Professor Osvaldo

$72 Vol.

24%

icon for Alexandre Guimarães

Alexandre Guimarães

$60 Vol.

19%

icon for Fábio Ribeiro

Fábio Ribeiro

$60 Vol.

19%

icon for Ronaldo Dimas

Ronaldo Dimas

$52 Vol.

15%

icon for Paulo Mourão

Paulo Mourão

$60 Vol.

14%

icon for Osvany Luz

Osvany Luz

$80 Vol.

14%

icon for Gaguim

Gaguim

$52 Vol.

19%

icon for Nilton Santos

Nilton Santos

$72 Vol.

26%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Tocantins federal Senate race for two seats on October 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where Eduardo Gomes holds a polling edge for first place while multiple contenders vie for second. Recent candidacy registrations closed in mid-August, with Irajá Abreu’s withdrawal consolidating some support but leaving names like Alexandre Guimarães, Carlos Gaguim, Eli Borges, and Professor Osvaldo in close contention per available surveys. The tight implied probabilities stem from similar vote-share bases among these candidates, limited recent polling differentiation, and Brazil’s multi-candidate dynamics where turnout, regional alliances, and late campaign shifts can reorder placements. Developments such as party coalitions, additional candidate exits, or updated statewide surveys could separate the pack before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$828
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Tocantins federal Senate race for two seats on October 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where Eduardo Gomes holds a polling edge for first place while multiple contenders vie for second. Recent candidacy registrations closed in mid-August, with Irajá Abreu’s withdrawal consolidating some support but leaving names like Alexandre Guimarães, Carlos Gaguim, Eli Borges, and Professor Osvaldo in close contention per available surveys. The tight implied probabilities stem from similar vote-share bases among these candidates, limited recent polling differentiation, and Brazil’s multi-candidate dynamics where turnout, regional alliances, and late campaign shifts can reorder placements. Developments such as party coalitions, additional candidate exits, or updated statewide surveys could separate the pack before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$828
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Kaugnay

icon for Will Paulo Mourão win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?

Will Paulo Mourão win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?

24%
icon for Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?

Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?

41%
icon for Will Marcos Dorval win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?

Will Marcos Dorval win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?

44%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 13 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Vanderlei Luxemburgo" sa 27%, sinusundan ng "Apóstolo Flavio Braga" sa 26%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 27¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 27% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 17, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place," i-browse ang 13 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place" ay "Vanderlei Luxemburgo" sa 27%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 27% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Apóstolo Flavio Braga" sa 26%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.