The Mecca Joint Defense Agreement, signed August 7, 2026, in Mecca by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes collective defense under UN Charter principles, treating an attack on one signatory as an attack on all while enhancing military cooperation. Its architects have described the pact as open to additional participants, prompting Polymarket markets on potential joiners by December 31, 2026. Trader sentiment reflects the early stage of diplomacy, with leading probabilities for countries such as Egypt and Qatar remaining in the low teens amid ongoing regional consultations. Key variables include complementary capabilities among prospective members, alignment on Gulf and West Asian security priorities, and clarification that the framework is not intended as a sectarian or anti-Iran axis. Diplomatic signals from OIC states and scheduled bilateral engagements through late 2026 could shift implied probabilities if formal accession talks advance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhich countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

Sudan
68%

Iraq
53%

Egypt
35%

Syria
29%

Bahrain
21%

Somalia
18%

Qatar
16%

Morocco
16%

Jordan
16%

Iran
11%

Kuwait
11%

Yemen
9%

United Arab Emirates
9%

Oman
8%

Algeria
7%

Lebanon
7%
$8,080 Vol.

Sudan
68%

Iraq
53%

Egypt
35%

Syria
29%

Bahrain
21%

Somalia
18%

Qatar
16%

Morocco
16%

Jordan
16%

Iran
11%

Kuwait
11%

Yemen
9%

United Arab Emirates
9%

Oman
8%

Algeria
7%

Lebanon
7%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Mecca Joint Defense Agreement, signed August 7, 2026, in Mecca by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes collective defense under UN Charter principles, treating an attack on one signatory as an attack on all while enhancing military cooperation. Its architects have described the pact as open to additional participants, prompting Polymarket markets on potential joiners by December 31, 2026. Trader sentiment reflects the early stage of diplomacy, with leading probabilities for countries such as Egypt and Qatar remaining in the low teens amid ongoing regional consultations. Key variables include complementary capabilities among prospective members, alignment on Gulf and West Asian security priorities, and clarification that the framework is not intended as a sectarian or anti-Iran axis. Diplomatic signals from OIC states and scheduled bilateral engagements through late 2026 could shift implied probabilities if formal accession talks advance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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