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Heopolitika·Syria

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

icon for Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Heopolitika·Syria

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$365,957 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$365,957 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Lebanon

Lebanon

$107,051 Vol.

13%

icon for Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia

$49,891 Vol.

13%

icon for Venezuela

Venezuela

$22,594 Vol.

13%

icon for Indonesia

Indonesia

$16,029 Vol.

8%

icon for Syria

Syria

$17,802 Vol.

7%

icon for Tunisia

Tunisia

$11,737 Vol.

7%

icon for Kuwait

Kuwait

$12,691 Vol.

7%

icon for Pakistan

Pakistan

$4,364 Vol.

6%

icon for Iran

Iran

$11,969 Vol.

5%

icon for Bangladesh

Bangladesh

$11,811 Vol.

5%

icon for Cuba

Cuba

$8,223 Vol.

4%

icon for Iraq

Iraq

$11,917 Vol.

4%

icon for Qatar

Qatar

$32,738 Vol.

4%

icon for Afghanistan

Afghanistan

$17,890 Vol.

4%

icon for Malaysia

Malaysia

$11,535 Vol.

4%

icon for North Korea

North Korea

$17,715 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Saudi Arabia remains the primary focus for potential new recognition of Israel by the end of 2026, given its central role in Arab diplomacy and longstanding conditions tied to a credible path toward a Palestinian state. Recent developments include the July 2026 U.S.-Saudi civil nuclear cooperation agreement, which U.S. President Trump publicly linked to Riyadh joining the Abraham Accords framework. Saudi leadership has reiterated that normalization requires progress on Palestinian issues, while domestic public opinion shows strong opposition. Broader U.S. efforts under the Trump administration have also targeted additional states such as Qatar and Pakistan for possible inclusion in expanded accords amid ongoing regional security negotiations. Approximately 29 UN member states, primarily Arab League and Organization of Islamic Cooperation members plus Cuba, North Korea, and Venezuela, currently withhold formal recognition, with trader assessments reflecting uncertainty over whether diplomatic momentum or structural barriers will prevail before the year-end deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$365,957
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Saudi Arabia remains the primary focus for potential new recognition of Israel by the end of 2026, given its central role in Arab diplomacy and longstanding conditions tied to a credible path toward a Palestinian state. Recent developments include the July 2026 U.S.-Saudi civil nuclear cooperation agreement, which U.S. President Trump publicly linked to Riyadh joining the Abraham Accords framework. Saudi leadership has reiterated that normalization requires progress on Palestinian issues, while domestic public opinion shows strong opposition. Broader U.S. efforts under the Trump administration have also targeted additional states such as Qatar and Pakistan for possible inclusion in expanded accords amid ongoing regional security negotiations. Approximately 29 UN member states, primarily Arab League and Organization of Islamic Cooperation members plus Cuba, North Korea, and Venezuela, currently withhold formal recognition, with trader assessments reflecting uncertainty over whether diplomatic momentum or structural barriers will prevail before the year-end deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$365,957
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Kaugnay

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23%
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Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

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Magkakaroon ba ng normalisasyon ng ugnayan ang Israel at Indonesia bago o sa Disyembre 31, 2026?

8%
Oo

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 16 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Lebanon" sa 13%, sinusundan ng "Saudi Arabia" sa 13%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 13¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 13% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?" ay naka-generate ng $366K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jun 1, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?," i-browse ang 16 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?" ay "Lebanon" sa 13%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 13% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Saudi Arabia" sa 13%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.