Spain leads trader consensus at 17.2% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, just ahead of France at 16.3%, driven by La Roja's flawless UEFA qualifying campaign—topping their group with dominant wins—and lingering momentum from their Euro 2024 triumph, bolstered by young stars like Lamine Yamal. France's near-lock qualification, powered by Kylian Mbappé's form and defensive solidity, keeps them neck-and-neck, while England's depth (10.9%), Argentina's defending champion pedigree despite Lionel Messi's age (8.8%), and Brazil's talent pool (8.6%) cluster tightly amid the 48-team expanded field. Recent March playoffs saw surprises like Bosnia-Herzegovina ousting Italy on penalties, but top contenders advanced comfortably; the Final Draw pitting Spain against Uruguay and Norway versus France adds matchup intrigue, heightening uncertainty two months from kickoff on June 11.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendiİspanya 17.1%
Fransa 16.3%
İngiltere 10.9%
Arjantin 8.8%
$672,329,193 Hac.
$672,329,193 Hac.
İspanya
17%
Fransa
16%
İngiltere
11%
Arjantin
9%
Brezilya
9%
Portekiz
7%
Almanya
5%
Hollanda
3%
Norveç
2%
Japonya
2%
Kolombiya
2%
Fas
2%
Belçika
2%
ABD
1%
Meksika
1%
İsviçre
1%
Uruguay
1%
Hırvatistan
1%
Türkiye
1%
Ekvador
1%
Senegal
1%
Kanada
1%
Avusturya
1%
İsveç
1%
Paraguay
<1%
Fildişi Sahili
<1%
Güney Kore
<1%
İskoçya
<1%
Çekya
<1%
Mısır
<1%
İran
<1%
Gana
<1%
Cezayir
<1%
Bosna-Hersek
<1%
Tunus
<1%
Panama
<1%
Güney Afrika
<1%
Kongo DC
<1%
Avustralya
<1%
Suudi Arabistan
<1%
Yeni Zelanda
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Ürdün
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Özbekistan
<1%
Irak
<1%
Yeşil Burun Adaları
<1%
Katar
<1%
İspanya 17.1%
Fransa 16.3%
İngiltere 10.9%
Arjantin 8.8%
$672,329,193 Hac.
$672,329,193 Hac.
İspanya
17%
Fransa
16%
İngiltere
11%
Arjantin
9%
Brezilya
9%
Portekiz
7%
Almanya
5%
Hollanda
3%
Norveç
2%
Japonya
2%
Kolombiya
2%
Fas
2%
Belçika
2%
ABD
1%
Meksika
1%
İsviçre
1%
Uruguay
1%
Hırvatistan
1%
Türkiye
1%
Ekvador
1%
Senegal
1%
Kanada
1%
Avusturya
1%
İsveç
1%
Paraguay
<1%
Fildişi Sahili
<1%
Güney Kore
<1%
İskoçya
<1%
Çekya
<1%
Mısır
<1%
İran
<1%
Gana
<1%
Cezayir
<1%
Bosna-Hersek
<1%
Tunus
<1%
Panama
<1%
Güney Afrika
<1%
Kongo DC
<1%
Avustralya
<1%
Suudi Arabistan
<1%
Yeni Zelanda
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Ürdün
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Özbekistan
<1%
Irak
<1%
Yeşil Burun Adaları
<1%
Katar
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain leads trader consensus at 17.2% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, just ahead of France at 16.3%, driven by La Roja's flawless UEFA qualifying campaign—topping their group with dominant wins—and lingering momentum from their Euro 2024 triumph, bolstered by young stars like Lamine Yamal. France's near-lock qualification, powered by Kylian Mbappé's form and defensive solidity, keeps them neck-and-neck, while England's depth (10.9%), Argentina's defending champion pedigree despite Lionel Messi's age (8.8%), and Brazil's talent pool (8.6%) cluster tightly amid the 48-team expanded field. Recent March playoffs saw surprises like Bosnia-Herzegovina ousting Italy on penalties, but top contenders advanced comfortably; the Final Draw pitting Spain against Uruguay and Norway versus France adds matchup intrigue, heightening uncertainty two months from kickoff on June 11.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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