Spain holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 17.2% implied probability, fueled by their flawless UEFA qualifiers and recent 3-0 friendly win over Serbia, extending momentum from Euro 2024 glory with Yamal and Pedri starring. France trails closely at 16.3%, backed by Mbappé's scoring prowess and top FIFA seeding, while England's 11.1% reflects a surge after edging Spain in a key qualifier. Defending champions Argentina (8.8%) lean on Messi's potential farewell and CONMEBOL table-topping, as Brazil (8.5%) rebounds via squad depth. This bunched field highlights balanced European/South American firepower—all qualified with elite pots for the group draw—amid uncertainties like summer form, injuries, and the expanded 48-team bracket's path dynamics.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendiİspanya 17.3%
Fransa 16.3%
İngiltere 11.1%
Arjantin 8.8%
$656,188,599 Hac.
$656,188,599 Hac.

İspanya
17%

Fransa
16%

İngiltere
11%

Arjantin
9%

Brezilya
8%

Portekiz
8%

Almanya
5%

Hollanda
3%

Norveç
2%

Japonya
2%

Belçika
2%

Kolombiya
2%

Fas
2%

ABD
1%

Meksika
1%

İsviçre
1%

Uruguay
1%

Hırvatistan
1%

Türkiye
1%

Ekvador
1%

Senegal
1%

Kanada
1%

Avusturya
1%

İsveç
1%

Paraguay
<1%

Fildişi Sahili
<1%

Güney Kore
<1%

Bosna-Hersek
<1%

İskoçya
<1%

Çekya
<1%

Mısır
<1%

İran
<1%

Gana
<1%

Cezayir
<1%

Tunus
<1%

Panama
<1%

Güney Afrika
<1%

Kongo DC
<1%

Avustralya
<1%

Suudi Arabistan
<1%

Yeni Zelanda
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Ürdün
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Özbekistan
<1%

Irak
<1%

Yeşil Burun Adaları
<1%

Katar
<1%
İspanya 17.3%
Fransa 16.3%
İngiltere 11.1%
Arjantin 8.8%
$656,188,599 Hac.
$656,188,599 Hac.

İspanya
17%

Fransa
16%

İngiltere
11%

Arjantin
9%

Brezilya
8%

Portekiz
8%

Almanya
5%

Hollanda
3%

Norveç
2%

Japonya
2%

Belçika
2%

Kolombiya
2%

Fas
2%

ABD
1%

Meksika
1%

İsviçre
1%

Uruguay
1%

Hırvatistan
1%

Türkiye
1%

Ekvador
1%

Senegal
1%

Kanada
1%

Avusturya
1%

İsveç
1%

Paraguay
<1%

Fildişi Sahili
<1%

Güney Kore
<1%

Bosna-Hersek
<1%

İskoçya
<1%

Çekya
<1%

Mısır
<1%

İran
<1%

Gana
<1%

Cezayir
<1%

Tunus
<1%

Panama
<1%

Güney Afrika
<1%

Kongo DC
<1%

Avustralya
<1%

Suudi Arabistan
<1%

Yeni Zelanda
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Ürdün
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Özbekistan
<1%

Irak
<1%

Yeşil Burun Adaları
<1%

Katar
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 17.2% implied probability, fueled by their flawless UEFA qualifiers and recent 3-0 friendly win over Serbia, extending momentum from Euro 2024 glory with Yamal and Pedri starring. France trails closely at 16.3%, backed by Mbappé's scoring prowess and top FIFA seeding, while England's 11.1% reflects a surge after edging Spain in a key qualifier. Defending champions Argentina (8.8%) lean on Messi's potential farewell and CONMEBOL table-topping, as Brazil (8.5%) rebounds via squad depth. This bunched field highlights balanced European/South American firepower—all qualified with elite pots for the group draw—amid uncertainties like summer form, injuries, and the expanded 48-team bracket's path dynamics.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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