Polymarket traders' closely matched sentiment on Brazil's 2026 annual IPCA inflation—43.7% implied probability for 5.00-5.49% versus 34.9% for 4.50-4.99%—reflects the latest Focus survey's median forecast jump to 4.71% on April 13, breaching the 4.5% target ceiling amid persistent fuel price surges from the Iran conflict. March IPCA accelerated to 0.88% monthly and 4.14% annually, driven by 4.59% gasoline hikes and food pressures, marking the sixth straight weekly upward revision in economist estimates. Competitive dynamics hinge on energy shock duration versus Copom's cautious easing path after a 25-basis-point Selic cut to 14.75% in March, with the April 28-29 meeting as the key near-term catalyst for resolution shifts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi5.00-5.49% 48.5%
4.50-4.99% 34.7%
4.00-4.49% 8.2%
3.50-3.99% 5.7%
$49,488 Hac.
$49,488 Hac.
12 Oca 2027
<3.00%
4%
3.00-3.49%
1%
3.50-3.99%
6%
4.00-4.49%
8%
4.50-4.99%
35%
5.00-5.49%
43%
5.50-5.99%
4%
6.00-6.49%
5%
6.50-6.99%
4%
7.00%+
3%
5.00-5.49% 48.5%
4.50-4.99% 34.7%
4.00-4.49% 8.2%
3.50-3.99% 5.7%
$49,488 Hac.
$49,488 Hac.
12 Oca 2027
<3.00%
$3,557 Hac.
4%
3.00-3.49%
$4,145 Hac.
1%
3.50-3.99%
$7,346 Hac.
6%
4.00-4.49%
$5,824 Hac.
8%
4.50-4.99%
$6,110 Hac.
35%
5.00-5.49%
$5,475 Hac.
43%
5.50-5.99%
$4,616 Hac.
4%
6.00-6.49%
$4,440 Hac.
5%
6.50-6.99%
$4,735 Hac.
4%
7.00%+
$3,241 Hac.
3%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlPolymarket traders' closely matched sentiment on Brazil's 2026 annual IPCA inflation—43.7% implied probability for 5.00-5.49% versus 34.9% for 4.50-4.99%—reflects the latest Focus survey's median forecast jump to 4.71% on April 13, breaching the 4.5% target ceiling amid persistent fuel price surges from the Iran conflict. March IPCA accelerated to 0.88% monthly and 4.14% annually, driven by 4.59% gasoline hikes and food pressures, marking the sixth straight weekly upward revision in economist estimates. Competitive dynamics hinge on energy shock duration versus Copom's cautious easing path after a 25-basis-point Selic cut to 14.75% in March, with the April 28-29 meeting as the key near-term catalyst for resolution shifts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Hacim
$49,488Bitiş Tarihi
12 Oca 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlPolymarket traders' closely matched sentiment on Brazil's 2026 annual IPCA inflation—43.7% implied probability for 5.00-5.49% versus 34.9% for 4.50-4.99%—reflects the latest Focus survey's median forecast jump to 4.71% on April 13, breaching the 4.5% target ceiling amid persistent fuel price surges from the Iran conflict. March IPCA accelerated to 0.88% monthly and 4.14% annually, driven by 4.59% gasoline hikes and food pressures, marking the sixth straight weekly upward revision in economist estimates. Competitive dynamics hinge on energy shock duration versus Copom's cautious easing path after a 25-basis-point Selic cut to 14.75% in March, with the April 28-29 meeting as the key near-term catalyst for resolution shifts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Hacim
$49,488Bitiş Tarihi
12 Oca 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders' closely matched sentiment on Brazil's 2026 annual IPCA inflation—43.7% implied probability for 5.00-5.49% versus 34.9% for 4.50-4.99%—reflects the latest Focus survey's median forecast jump to 4.71% on April 13, breaching the 4.5% target ceiling amid persistent fuel price surges from the Iran conflict. March IPCA accelerated to 0.88% monthly and 4.14% annually, driven by 4.59% gasoline hikes and food pressures, marking the sixth straight weekly upward revision in economist estimates. Competitive dynamics hinge on energy shock duration versus Copom's cautious easing path after a 25-basis-point Selic cut to 14.75% in March, with the April 28-29 meeting as the key near-term catalyst for resolution shifts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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