The running order reveal for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final on May 12 in Vienna has solidified trader consensus around frontrunners like Sweden's Felicia with "My System" and Greece's Akylas with "Ferto," both slotted early (positions 2 and 4) for strong voter recall and televote potential. Recent national final winners, including Moldova's energetic Satoshi ("Viva, Moldova!") opener and Croatia's Lelek ("Andromeda"), have built qualification momentum via strong streaming metrics and precursor buzz, while Finland and Israel emerge as jury favorites per betting models showing 90%+ implied probabilities to advance. Juries return to semis for the first time since 2022, adding unpredictability amid diaspora voting blocs; first rehearsals next week could shift dynamics for the 10 qualifying spots from 15 entrants.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEurovision 2026: İlk Yarı Final
Eurovision 2026: İlk Yarı Final
$466,724 Hac.
12 May 2026
Finlandiya
98%
İsveç
98%
Yunanistan
97%
İsrail
92%
Moldova
88%
Sırbistan
79%
Hırvatistan
77%
Litvanya
69%
Karadağ
63%
Polonya
43%
Portekiz
39%
Gürcistan
38%
Estonya
36%
Belçika
28%
San Marino
18%
$466,724 Hac.
Finlandiya
$334,114 Hac.
98%
İsveç
$2,911 Hac.
98%
Yunanistan
$5,029 Hac.
97%
İsrail
$19,679 Hac.
92%
Moldova
$11,747 Hac.
88%
Sırbistan
$6,229 Hac.
79%
Hırvatistan
$7,975 Hac.
77%
Litvanya
$2,899 Hac.
69%
Karadağ
$6,180 Hac.
63%
Polonya
$8,959 Hac.
43%
Portekiz
$34,645 Hac.
39%
Gürcistan
$2,184 Hac.
38%
Estonya
$6,915 Hac.
36%
Belçika
$9,887 Hac.
28%
San Marino
$7,370 Hac.
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The running order reveal for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final on May 12 in Vienna has solidified trader consensus around frontrunners like Sweden's Felicia with "My System" and Greece's Akylas with "Ferto," both slotted early (positions 2 and 4) for strong voter recall and televote potential. Recent national final winners, including Moldova's energetic Satoshi ("Viva, Moldova!") opener and Croatia's Lelek ("Andromeda"), have built qualification momentum via strong streaming metrics and precursor buzz, while Finland and Israel emerge as jury favorites per betting models showing 90%+ implied probabilities to advance. Juries return to semis for the first time since 2022, adding unpredictability amid diaspora voting blocs; first rehearsals next week could shift dynamics for the 10 qualifying spots from 15 entrants.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
Hacim
$466,724Bitiş Tarihi
12 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The running order reveal for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final on May 12 in Vienna has solidified trader consensus around frontrunners like Sweden's Felicia with "My System" and Greece's Akylas with "Ferto," both slotted early (positions 2 and 4) for strong voter recall and televote potential. Recent national final winners, including Moldova's energetic Satoshi ("Viva, Moldova!") opener and Croatia's Lelek ("Andromeda"), have built qualification momentum via strong streaming metrics and precursor buzz, while Finland and Israel emerge as jury favorites per betting models showing 90%+ implied probabilities to advance. Juries return to semis for the first time since 2022, adding unpredictability amid diaspora voting blocs; first rehearsals next week could shift dynamics for the 10 qualifying spots from 15 entrants.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Hacim
$466,724Bitiş Tarihi
12 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The running order reveal for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final on May 12 in Vienna has solidified trader consensus around frontrunners like Sweden's Felicia with "My System" and Greece's Akylas with "Ferto," both slotted early (positions 2 and 4) for strong voter recall and televote potential. Recent national final winners, including Moldova's energetic Satoshi ("Viva, Moldova!") opener and Croatia's Lelek ("Andromeda"), have built qualification momentum via strong streaming metrics and precursor buzz, while Finland and Israel emerge as jury favorites per betting models showing 90%+ implied probabilities to advance. Juries return to semis for the first time since 2022, adding unpredictability amid diaspora voting blocs; first rehearsals next week could shift dynamics for the 10 qualifying spots from 15 entrants.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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