Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli airstrikes in early March 2026, prompting the Assembly of Experts to appoint his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as supreme leader on March 8 amid an interim council transition. Recent intelligence reports, including a Reuters article on April 11, reveal Mojtaba suffers severe disfiguring wounds—possibly including loss of a limb—from the same strikes, leaving him treated in Qom and reportedly incapacitated or unconscious, unable to engage in decision-making. This has fueled speculation of further leadership instability, with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) appearing to wield significant influence over ongoing military actions against Israel and Gulf states. No official announcements confirm his status, and upcoming Assembly sessions could address succession if his condition persists.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$8,894,190 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
30 Nisan
7%
31 Mayıs
14%
30 Haziran
19%
31 Aralık
31%
$8,894,190 Hac.
30 Nisan
$3,042,368 Hac.
7%
31 Mayıs
$452,411 Hac.
14%
30 Haziran
$441,655 Hac.
19%
31 Aralık
$1,726,835 Hac.
31%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli airstrikes in early March 2026, prompting the Assembly of Experts to appoint his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as supreme leader on March 8 amid an interim council transition. Recent intelligence reports, including a Reuters article on April 11, reveal Mojtaba suffers severe disfiguring wounds—possibly including loss of a limb—from the same strikes, leaving him treated in Qom and reportedly incapacitated or unconscious, unable to engage in decision-making. This has fueled speculation of further leadership instability, with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) appearing to wield significant influence over ongoing military actions against Israel and Gulf states. No official announcements confirm his status, and upcoming Assembly sessions could address succession if his condition persists.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ET
Hacim
$8,894,190Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli airstrikes in early March 2026, prompting the Assembly of Experts to appoint his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as supreme leader on March 8 amid an interim council transition. Recent intelligence reports, including a Reuters article on April 11, reveal Mojtaba suffers severe disfiguring wounds—possibly including loss of a limb—from the same strikes, leaving him treated in Qom and reportedly incapacitated or unconscious, unable to engage in decision-making. This has fueled speculation of further leadership instability, with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) appearing to wield significant influence over ongoing military actions against Israel and Gulf states. No official announcements confirm his status, and upcoming Assembly sessions could address succession if his condition persists.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$8,894,190Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli airstrikes in early March 2026, prompting the Assembly of Experts to appoint his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as supreme leader on March 8 amid an interim council transition. Recent intelligence reports, including a Reuters article on April 11, reveal Mojtaba suffers severe disfiguring wounds—possibly including loss of a limb—from the same strikes, leaving him treated in Qom and reportedly incapacitated or unconscious, unable to engage in decision-making. This has fueled speculation of further leadership instability, with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) appearing to wield significant influence over ongoing military actions against Israel and Gulf states. No official announcements confirm his status, and upcoming Assembly sessions could address succession if his condition persists.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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