Trader consensus on further Iran leadership change reflects heightened uncertainty over Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's health amid the ongoing US-Iran war. Ayatollah Ali Khamenei died in late February 2026 from an assassination, prompting the Assembly of Experts to name his son Mojtaba as successor in early March. Recent intelligence assessments, including sources cited on April 11, report severe facial and leg injuries from US-Israeli airstrikes, with unconfirmed claims of coma or incapacity in Qom, though Iranian officials insist he directs decisions remotely and remains engaged. Absent public appearances fuel speculation; escalation in strikes or diplomatic breakthroughs could trigger succession procedures.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$8,939,270 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
30 Nisan
7%
31 Mayıs
13%
30 Haziran
19%
31 Aralık
31%
$8,939,270 Hac.
30 Nisan
$3,070,949 Hac.
7%
31 Mayıs
$463,161 Hac.
13%
30 Haziran
$442,767 Hac.
19%
31 Aralık
$1,731,471 Hac.
31%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on further Iran leadership change reflects heightened uncertainty over Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's health amid the ongoing US-Iran war. Ayatollah Ali Khamenei died in late February 2026 from an assassination, prompting the Assembly of Experts to name his son Mojtaba as successor in early March. Recent intelligence assessments, including sources cited on April 11, report severe facial and leg injuries from US-Israeli airstrikes, with unconfirmed claims of coma or incapacity in Qom, though Iranian officials insist he directs decisions remotely and remains engaged. Absent public appearances fuel speculation; escalation in strikes or diplomatic breakthroughs could trigger succession procedures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 24, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Hacim
$8,939,270Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 4:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on further Iran leadership change reflects heightened uncertainty over Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's health amid the ongoing US-Iran war. Ayatollah Ali Khamenei died in late February 2026 from an assassination, prompting the Assembly of Experts to name his son Mojtaba as successor in early March. Recent intelligence assessments, including sources cited on April 11, report severe facial and leg injuries from US-Israeli airstrikes, with unconfirmed claims of coma or incapacity in Qom, though Iranian officials insist he directs decisions remotely and remains engaged. Absent public appearances fuel speculation; escalation in strikes or diplomatic breakthroughs could trigger succession procedures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$8,939,270Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 4:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on further Iran leadership change reflects heightened uncertainty over Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's health amid the ongoing US-Iran war. Ayatollah Ali Khamenei died in late February 2026 from an assassination, prompting the Assembly of Experts to name his son Mojtaba as successor in early March. Recent intelligence assessments, including sources cited on April 11, report severe facial and leg injuries from US-Israeli airstrikes, with unconfirmed claims of coma or incapacity in Qom, though Iranian officials insist he directs decisions remotely and remains engaged. Absent public appearances fuel speculation; escalation in strikes or diplomatic breakthroughs could trigger succession procedures.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular