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Siyaset·Hindistan - Pakistan

Modi 31 Aralık 2026 'ya kadar çıkar mı?

Market icon
Siyaset·Hindistan - Pakistan

Modi 31 Aralık 2026 'ya kadar çıkar mı?

Ara 31

Ara 31

Evet

8% olasılık
Polymarket

$20,605 Hac.

Evet

8% olasılık
Polymarket

$20,605 Hac.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Narendra Modi's position as head of the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition government remains stable, with his Lok Sabha term extending to 2029 and no credible calls for a snap election or no-confidence vote amid ongoing state assembly polls in Assam, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, West Bengal, and Puducherry. Recent parliamentary debates on April 16, 2026, saw Modi advocate for expanding Lok Sabha seats by 55% to 850 while reserving one-third for women via the Delimitation Bill, signaling policy continuity and coalition unity despite post-2024 majority loss. Opposition claims, like Arvind Kejriwal's March prediction of Modi's exit by year-end, lack substantiation, reinforcing trader consensus at 92% "No" probability—barring unforeseen scandals, health issues, or economic shocks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$20,605
Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Narendra Modi's position as head of the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition government remains stable, with his Lok Sabha term extending to 2029 and no credible calls for a snap election or no-confidence vote amid ongoing state assembly polls in Assam, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, West Bengal, and Puducherry. Recent parliamentary debates on April 16, 2026, saw Modi advocate for expanding Lok Sabha seats by 55% to 850 while reserving one-third for women via the Delimitation Bill, signaling policy continuity and coalition unity despite post-2024 majority loss. Opposition claims, like Arvind Kejriwal's March prediction of Modi's exit by year-end, lack substantiation, reinforcing trader consensus at 92% "No" probability—barring unforeseen scandals, health issues, or economic shocks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$20,605
Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Modi 31 Aralık 2026 'ya kadar çıkar mı?", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 2 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 8% ile "Modi 31 Aralık 2026'ya kadar görevden ayrılır mı?"dir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 8¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 8% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Modi 31 Aralık 2026 'ya kadar çıkar mı?" toplam $20.6K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Nov 13, 2025 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Modi 31 Aralık 2026 'ya kadar çıkar mı?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 2 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

Bu tamamen açık bir piyasa. "Modi 31 Aralık 2026 'ya kadar çıkar mı?" için mevcut lider yalnızca 8% ile "Modi 31 Aralık 2026'ya kadar görevden ayrılır mı?"dir. Hiçbir sonuç güçlü bir çoğunluk elde edemediğinden, yatırımcılar bunu oldukça belirsiz olarak görüyor ve bu benzersiz işlem fırsatları sunabilir. Bu oranlar gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu yüzden olasılıkların nasıl geliştiğini izlemek için bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Modi 31 Aralık 2026 'ya kadar çıkar mı?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.