Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. custody at a Brooklyn detention facility following his January 3, 2026, capture by American special forces in Caracas amid a military operation tied to longstanding federal narcotics trafficking indictments, including narco-terrorism charges linked to the Cartel de los Soles. His March 26 court appearance in Manhattan advanced pretrial proceedings without bail or release, underscoring flight risk concerns and the gravity of accusations akin to those against Manuel Noriega. Venezuela's interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez has freed over 200 political prisoners in response to U.S. pressure, but no diplomatic breakthroughs have emerged for Maduro. Trader consensus reflects low release probabilities absent a plea deal, dropped charges, or extraordinary intervention, with key upcoming events including potential trial scheduling and further hearings in the Southern District of New York.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$2,601,859 Hac.
31 Oca 2026
31 Aralık
16%
$2,601,859 Hac.
31 Aralık
$206,410 Hac.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. custody at a Brooklyn detention facility following his January 3, 2026, capture by American special forces in Caracas amid a military operation tied to longstanding federal narcotics trafficking indictments, including narco-terrorism charges linked to the Cartel de los Soles. His March 26 court appearance in Manhattan advanced pretrial proceedings without bail or release, underscoring flight risk concerns and the gravity of accusations akin to those against Manuel Noriega. Venezuela's interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez has freed over 200 political prisoners in response to U.S. pressure, but no diplomatic breakthroughs have emerged for Maduro. Trader consensus reflects low release probabilities absent a plea deal, dropped charges, or extraordinary intervention, with key upcoming events including potential trial scheduling and further hearings in the Southern District of New York.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Hacim
$2,601,859Bitiş Tarihi
31 Oca 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. custody at a Brooklyn detention facility following his January 3, 2026, capture by American special forces in Caracas amid a military operation tied to longstanding federal narcotics trafficking indictments, including narco-terrorism charges linked to the Cartel de los Soles. His March 26 court appearance in Manhattan advanced pretrial proceedings without bail or release, underscoring flight risk concerns and the gravity of accusations akin to those against Manuel Noriega. Venezuela's interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez has freed over 200 political prisoners in response to U.S. pressure, but no diplomatic breakthroughs have emerged for Maduro. Trader consensus reflects low release probabilities absent a plea deal, dropped charges, or extraordinary intervention, with key upcoming events including potential trial scheduling and further hearings in the Southern District of New York.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$2,601,859Bitiş Tarihi
31 Oca 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. custody at a Brooklyn detention facility following his January 3, 2026, capture by American special forces in Caracas amid a military operation tied to longstanding federal narcotics trafficking indictments, including narco-terrorism charges linked to the Cartel de los Soles. His March 26 court appearance in Manhattan advanced pretrial proceedings without bail or release, underscoring flight risk concerns and the gravity of accusations akin to those against Manuel Noriega. Venezuela's interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez has freed over 200 political prisoners in response to U.S. pressure, but no diplomatic breakthroughs have emerged for Maduro. Trader consensus reflects low release probabilities absent a plea deal, dropped charges, or extraordinary intervention, with key upcoming events including potential trial scheduling and further hearings in the Southern District of New York.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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