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Siyaset·Ödüller

Nobel Barış Ödülü Sahibi 2026

Market icon
Siyaset·Ödüller

Nobel Barış Ödülü Sahibi 2026

Yulia Navalnaya 10%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 8.6%

Donald Trump 7%

Papa XIV. Leo 4.6%

Polymarket

$13,751,319 Hac.

Yulia Navalnaya 10%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 8.6%

Donald Trump 7%

Papa XIV. Leo 4.6%

Polymarket

$13,751,319 Hac.

Yulia Navalnaya 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Yulia Navalnaya

$124,170 Hac.

10%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$418,631 Hac.

9%

Donald Trump 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Donald Trump

$2,509,052 Hac.

7%

Papa XIV. Leo 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülünü kazanacak mı? icon

Papa XIV. Leo

$620,748 Hac.

5%

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$509,335 Hac.

3%

Xi Jinping 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Xi Jinping

$889,323 Hac.

3%

UNRWA 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

UNRWA

$1,808,790 Hac.

3%

Uluslararası Adalet Divanı 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülünü kazanacak mı? icon

Uluslararası Adalet Divanı

$668,083 Hac.

3%

Greta Thunberg 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Greta Thunberg

$1,051,083 Hac.

2%

Narendra Modi 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Narendra Modi

$396,050 Hac.

2%

Muhammed bin Selman 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Muhammed bin Selman

$633,484 Hac.

1%

Ahmed el-Şeraa 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülünü kazanacak mı? icon

Ahmed el-Şeraa

$660,988 Hac.

1%

Elon Musk 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Elon Musk

$553,423 Hac.

1%

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$492,945 Hac.

1%

Charlie Kirk 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Charlie Kirk

$691,305 Hac.

1%

Khaled Meşal 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Khaled Meşal

$266,928 Hac.

1%

António Guterres 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

António Guterres

$194,307 Hac.

1%

Julian Assange 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Julian Assange

$361,092 Hac.

1%

Vladimir Putin 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Vladimir Putin

$541,542 Hac.

1%

Benjamin Netanyahu 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Benjamin Netanyahu

$360,356 Hac.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a wide-open field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with Yulia Navalnaya holding a slim 9.5% implied probability edge over Volodymyr Zelenskyy at 8.6% and Donald Trump at 6.5%, underscoring high uncertainty six months from the October 10 announcement. Navalnaya's frontrunner status stems from her amplified role as a global symbol of resistance to authoritarianism, building on Alexei Navalny's legacy amid ongoing Russian opposition campaigns. Zelenskyy's surge follows his late-March formal nomination by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø, spotlighting Ukraine's democratic defense against invasion. Trump maintains momentum from Pakistan's prior nomination and self-promoted peace brokering, while new Pope Leo XIV gains traction through recent diplomatic outreach, like his Algeria trip emphasizing conflict resolution. Key differentiators include verifiable nominations, cultural narratives of heroism, and geopolitical shifts, though the Norwegian Nobel Committee's secretive voting keeps upsets viable.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Hacim
$13,751,319
Bitiş Tarihi
10 Eki 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a wide-open field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with Yulia Navalnaya holding a slim 9.5% implied probability edge over Volodymyr Zelenskyy at 8.6% and Donald Trump at 6.5%, underscoring high uncertainty six months from the October 10 announcement. Navalnaya's frontrunner status stems from her amplified role as a global symbol of resistance to authoritarianism, building on Alexei Navalny's legacy amid ongoing Russian opposition campaigns. Zelenskyy's surge follows his late-March formal nomination by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø, spotlighting Ukraine's democratic defense against invasion. Trump maintains momentum from Pakistan's prior nomination and self-promoted peace brokering, while new Pope Leo XIV gains traction through recent diplomatic outreach, like his Algeria trip emphasizing conflict resolution. Key differentiators include verifiable nominations, cultural narratives of heroism, and geopolitical shifts, though the Norwegian Nobel Committee's secretive voting keeps upsets viable.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Hacim
$13,751,319
Bitiş Tarihi
10 Eki 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Nobel Barış Ödülü Sahibi 2026", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 20 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 10% ile "Yulia Navalnaya", ardından 9% ile "Volodymyr Zelenskyy" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 10¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 10% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Nobel Barış Ödülü Sahibi 2026" toplam $13.8 million işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Oct 16, 2025 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Nobel Barış Ödülü Sahibi 2026" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 20 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Nobel Barış Ödülü Sahibi 2026" için mevcut favori 10% ile "Yulia Navalnaya"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 10% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 9% ile "Volodymyr Zelenskyy"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Nobel Barış Ödülü Sahibi 2026" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.