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Siyaset·Ödüller

Nobel Barış Ödülü Sahibi 2026

Market icon
Siyaset·Ödüller

Nobel Barış Ödülü Sahibi 2026

Yulia Navalnaya 9%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 8.1%

Donald Trump 7%

Papa XIV. Leo 4.5%

Polymarket

$13,775,582 Hac.

Yulia Navalnaya 9%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 8.1%

Donald Trump 7%

Papa XIV. Leo 4.5%

Polymarket

$13,775,582 Hac.

Yulia Navalnaya 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Yulia Navalnaya

$124,224 Hac.

9%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$418,658 Hac.

8%

Donald Trump 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Donald Trump

$2,509,720 Hac.

7%

Papa XIV. Leo 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülünü kazanacak mı? icon

Papa XIV. Leo

$621,516 Hac.

5%

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$510,274 Hac.

3%

Uluslararası Adalet Divanı 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülünü kazanacak mı? icon

Uluslararası Adalet Divanı

$669,834 Hac.

3%

UNRWA 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

UNRWA

$1,810,636 Hac.

3%

Xi Jinping 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Xi Jinping

$890,054 Hac.

3%

Greta Thunberg 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Greta Thunberg

$1,054,327 Hac.

2%

Narendra Modi 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Narendra Modi

$397,176 Hac.

2%

Muhammed bin Selman 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Muhammed bin Selman

$633,971 Hac.

1%

Ahmed el-Şeraa 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülünü kazanacak mı? icon

Ahmed el-Şeraa

$662,483 Hac.

1%

Elon Musk 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Elon Musk

$553,990 Hac.

1%

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$494,594 Hac.

1%

Khaled Meşal 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Khaled Meşal

$268,434 Hac.

1%

Charlie Kirk 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Charlie Kirk

$695,279 Hac.

1%

António Guterres 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

António Guterres

$196,399 Hac.

1%

Vladimir Putin 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Vladimir Putin

$541,588 Hac.

1%

Julian Assange 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Julian Assange

$361,999 Hac.

1%

Benjamin Netanyahu 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Benjamin Netanyahu

$360,649 Hac.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a highly fragmented field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with Yulia Navalnaya's 8.5% implied probability narrowly ahead of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's 8.1%, underscoring intense competition among anti-authoritarian figures and peace advocates. Navalnaya sustains frontrunner status through her enduring campaign carrying forward Alexei Navalny's legacy amid Russia's crackdowns, while Zelenskyy's recent nomination by Norwegian professor Dag Øistein Endsjø—highlighting Ukraine's wartime resilience—has fueled a momentum surge in early April. Pope Leo XIV's 4.5% gains traction from grassroots buzz and his vocal peace pleas clashing with Trump-era tensions, as noted in recent op-eds. Donald Trump's 6.5% persists via supporter narratives around past deals, but slipping odds signal barriers from controversies. With secret committee voting and six months to the October announcement, swing factors like fresh humanitarian crises or guild-like precursor endorsements could reshape this crowded narrative.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Hacim
$13,775,582
Bitiş Tarihi
10 Eki 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a highly fragmented field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with Yulia Navalnaya's 8.5% implied probability narrowly ahead of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's 8.1%, underscoring intense competition among anti-authoritarian figures and peace advocates. Navalnaya sustains frontrunner status through her enduring campaign carrying forward Alexei Navalny's legacy amid Russia's crackdowns, while Zelenskyy's recent nomination by Norwegian professor Dag Øistein Endsjø—highlighting Ukraine's wartime resilience—has fueled a momentum surge in early April. Pope Leo XIV's 4.5% gains traction from grassroots buzz and his vocal peace pleas clashing with Trump-era tensions, as noted in recent op-eds. Donald Trump's 6.5% persists via supporter narratives around past deals, but slipping odds signal barriers from controversies. With secret committee voting and six months to the October announcement, swing factors like fresh humanitarian crises or guild-like precursor endorsements could reshape this crowded narrative.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Hacim
$13,775,582
Bitiş Tarihi
10 Eki 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Nobel Barış Ödülü Sahibi 2026", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 20 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 9% ile "Yulia Navalnaya", ardından 8% ile "Volodymyr Zelenskyy" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 9¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 9% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Nobel Barış Ödülü Sahibi 2026" toplam $13.8 million işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Oct 16, 2025 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Nobel Barış Ödülü Sahibi 2026" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 20 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

Bu tamamen açık bir piyasa. "Nobel Barış Ödülü Sahibi 2026" için mevcut lider yalnızca 9% ile "Yulia Navalnaya", ardından yakın takipte 8% ile "Volodymyr Zelenskyy" gelmektedir. Hiçbir sonuç güçlü bir çoğunluk elde edemediğinden, yatırımcılar bunu oldukça belirsiz olarak görüyor ve bu benzersiz işlem fırsatları sunabilir. Bu oranlar gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu yüzden olasılıkların nasıl geliştiğini izlemek için bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Nobel Barış Ödülü Sahibi 2026" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.