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Siyaset·Ödüller

Nobel Barış Ödülü Sahibi 2026

Market icon
Siyaset·Ödüller

Nobel Barış Ödülü Sahibi 2026

Yulia Navalnaya 10%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 8.8%

Donald Trump 7%

Papa XIV. Leo 4.7%

Polymarket

$13,716,083 Hac.

Yulia Navalnaya 10%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 8.8%

Donald Trump 7%

Papa XIV. Leo 4.7%

Polymarket

$13,716,083 Hac.

Yulia Navalnaya 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Yulia Navalnaya

$123,936 Hac.

10%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$418,631 Hac.

9%

Donald Trump 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Donald Trump

$2,509,026 Hac.

7%

Papa XIV. Leo 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülünü kazanacak mı? icon

Papa XIV. Leo

$602,358 Hac.

5%

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$508,576 Hac.

3%

Xi Jinping 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Xi Jinping

$888,776 Hac.

3%

Uluslararası Adalet Divanı 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülünü kazanacak mı? icon

Uluslararası Adalet Divanı

$666,894 Hac.

3%

UNRWA 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

UNRWA

$1,807,878 Hac.

3%

Greta Thunberg 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Greta Thunberg

$1,049,328 Hac.

2%

Muhammed bin Selman 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Muhammed bin Selman

$630,009 Hac.

2%

Narendra Modi 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Narendra Modi

$394,910 Hac.

2%

Ahmed el-Şeraa 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülünü kazanacak mı? icon

Ahmed el-Şeraa

$659,405 Hac.

1%

Khaled Meşal 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Khaled Meşal

$266,178 Hac.

1%

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$492,048 Hac.

1%

Charlie Kirk 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Charlie Kirk

$689,233 Hac.

1%

Elon Musk 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Elon Musk

$553,304 Hac.

1%

António Guterres 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

António Guterres

$193,520 Hac.

1%

Vladimir Putin 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Vladimir Putin

$541,542 Hac.

1%

Julian Assange 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Julian Assange

$360,727 Hac.

1%

Benjamin Netanyahu 2026'da Nobel Barış Ödülü'nü kazanacak mı? icon

Benjamin Netanyahu

$360,274 Hac.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus in the Nobel Peace Prize 2026 market reveals a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner, as Yulia Navalnaya's 9.5% implied probability narrowly leads Volodymyr Zelenskyy's 8.6% amid ongoing global conflicts shaping voter sentiment. Navalnaya's edge stems from her persistent anti-Putin campaign, amplified by her February announcement of the 2026 Alexei Navalny Prize laureate, symbolizing enduring Russian opposition momentum. Zelenskyy's recent surge follows a March 27 formal nomination by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø, crediting Ukraine's democratic defense against invasion as European peace preservation. Donald Trump's 6.5% holds on prior nominations like Pakistan's for de-escalation efforts, while Pope Leo XIV's 4.6% gains from his April 5 Urbi et Orbi peace appeals and January diplomatic audiences. Differentiators include documented humanitarian impact versus wartime leadership narratives, with secret committee deliberations until October 10 fueling uncertainty and potential shifts from new endorsements.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Hacim
$13,716,083
Bitiş Tarihi
10 Eki 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus in the Nobel Peace Prize 2026 market reveals a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner, as Yulia Navalnaya's 9.5% implied probability narrowly leads Volodymyr Zelenskyy's 8.6% amid ongoing global conflicts shaping voter sentiment. Navalnaya's edge stems from her persistent anti-Putin campaign, amplified by her February announcement of the 2026 Alexei Navalny Prize laureate, symbolizing enduring Russian opposition momentum. Zelenskyy's recent surge follows a March 27 formal nomination by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø, crediting Ukraine's democratic defense against invasion as European peace preservation. Donald Trump's 6.5% holds on prior nominations like Pakistan's for de-escalation efforts, while Pope Leo XIV's 4.6% gains from his April 5 Urbi et Orbi peace appeals and January diplomatic audiences. Differentiators include documented humanitarian impact versus wartime leadership narratives, with secret committee deliberations until October 10 fueling uncertainty and potential shifts from new endorsements.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Hacim
$13,716,083
Bitiş Tarihi
10 Eki 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Nobel Barış Ödülü Sahibi 2026", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 20 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 10% ile "Yulia Navalnaya", ardından 9% ile "Volodymyr Zelenskyy" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 10¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 10% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Nobel Barış Ödülü Sahibi 2026" toplam $13.7 million işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Oct 16, 2025 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Nobel Barış Ödülü Sahibi 2026" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 20 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Nobel Barış Ödülü Sahibi 2026" için mevcut favori 10% ile "Yulia Navalnaya"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 10% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 9% ile "Volodymyr Zelenskyy"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Nobel Barış Ödülü Sahibi 2026" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.