Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a commanding 97.3% probability of no change to the People's Bank of China's 7-day reverse repo rate through April 30, driven by steady monetary policy amid economic growth meeting official targets. Recent open market operations, including a 500-billion-yuan outright reverse repo announced April 14 at the prevailing 1.4% rate, signal continuity, while March loan prime rates (LPR) held unchanged for a tenth month and new loans disappointed without prompting easing. Global banks like ANZ recently scaled back rate-cut forecasts for 2026-2027, citing sufficient momentum. A shift would require sudden weak data, external shocks, or policy signals ahead of mid-month medium-term lending facility (MLF) operations or late-month LPR reset.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiPeople's Bank of China'nın nisan ayındaki faiz değişimi?
People's Bank of China'nın nisan ayındaki faiz değişimi?
Değişiklik Yok 97.2%
Düşürme 2.4%
Artış <1%
$20,064 Hac.
$20,064 Hac.
Artış
1%
Değişiklik Yok
97%
Düşürme
2%
Değişiklik Yok 97.2%
Düşürme 2.4%
Artış <1%
$20,064 Hac.
$20,064 Hac.
Artış
1%
Değişiklik Yok
97%
Düşürme
2%
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 31, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a commanding 97.3% probability of no change to the People's Bank of China's 7-day reverse repo rate through April 30, driven by steady monetary policy amid economic growth meeting official targets. Recent open market operations, including a 500-billion-yuan outright reverse repo announced April 14 at the prevailing 1.4% rate, signal continuity, while March loan prime rates (LPR) held unchanged for a tenth month and new loans disappointed without prompting easing. Global banks like ANZ recently scaled back rate-cut forecasts for 2026-2027, citing sufficient momentum. A shift would require sudden weak data, external shocks, or policy signals ahead of mid-month medium-term lending facility (MLF) operations or late-month LPR reset.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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