Intense backchannel diplomacy centers on arranging a second round of direct US-Iran talks after the first round collapsed in Islamabad on April 11, amid a fragile two-week ceasefire over Strait of Hormuz access and US blockade enforcement. Pakistan is mediating potential meetings in the third week of April, possibly involving US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner—who led prior discussions—or Vice President J.D. Vance, with Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf as counterparts. Trader consensus heavily favors Witkoff in light of his pivotal role, though escalation risks or breakthroughs could elevate higher-level participation like President Trump before the April 30 deadline.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiYENİ
$98,819 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
Donald Trump
7%
J.D. Vance
75%
Marco Rubio
12%
Jared Kushner
73%
Steve Witkoff
82%
$98,819 Hac.
Donald Trump
$85,083 Hac.
7%
J.D. Vance
$5,570 Hac.
75%
Marco Rubio
$3,708 Hac.
12%
Jared Kushner
$1,245 Hac.
73%
Steve Witkoff
$3,216 Hac.
82%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Intense backchannel diplomacy centers on arranging a second round of direct US-Iran talks after the first round collapsed in Islamabad on April 11, amid a fragile two-week ceasefire over Strait of Hormuz access and US blockade enforcement. Pakistan is mediating potential meetings in the third week of April, possibly involving US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner—who led prior discussions—or Vice President J.D. Vance, with Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf as counterparts. Trader consensus heavily favors Witkoff in light of his pivotal role, though escalation risks or breakthroughs could elevate higher-level participation like President Trump before the April 30 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Hacim
$98,819Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Intense backchannel diplomacy centers on arranging a second round of direct US-Iran talks after the first round collapsed in Islamabad on April 11, amid a fragile two-week ceasefire over Strait of Hormuz access and US blockade enforcement. Pakistan is mediating potential meetings in the third week of April, possibly involving US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner—who led prior discussions—or Vice President J.D. Vance, with Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf as counterparts. Trader consensus heavily favors Witkoff in light of his pivotal role, though escalation risks or breakthroughs could elevate higher-level participation like President Trump before the April 30 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Hacim
$98,819Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Intense backchannel diplomacy centers on arranging a second round of direct US-Iran talks after the first round collapsed in Islamabad on April 11, amid a fragile two-week ceasefire over Strait of Hormuz access and US blockade enforcement. Pakistan is mediating potential meetings in the third week of April, possibly involving US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner—who led prior discussions—or Vice President J.D. Vance, with Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf as counterparts. Trader consensus heavily favors Witkoff in light of his pivotal role, though escalation risks or breakthroughs could elevate higher-level participation like President Trump before the April 30 deadline.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular