Following the collapse of the first direct US-Iran talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, where Vice President J.D. Vance, special envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner met Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi without reaching a deal on nuclear limits or Strait of Hormuz access, President Trump imposed a naval blockade and a fragile ceasefire nears expiration around April 22. Diplomats, led by Pakistan, are arranging a second round of negotiations before April 30 to avert escalation, boosting trader consensus on repeat US participation by proven envoys like Witkoff amid ongoing mediation efforts and White House optimism for de-escalation. Unresolved gaps on uranium enrichment and sanctions persist as key hurdles.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$98,789 Hac.

Donald Trump
7%

J.D. Vance
75%

Marco Rubio
12%

Jared Kushner
73%

Steve Witkoff
82%
$98,789 Hac.

Donald Trump
7%

J.D. Vance
75%

Marco Rubio
12%

Jared Kushner
73%

Steve Witkoff
82%
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Following the collapse of the first direct US-Iran talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, where Vice President J.D. Vance, special envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner met Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi without reaching a deal on nuclear limits or Strait of Hormuz access, President Trump imposed a naval blockade and a fragile ceasefire nears expiration around April 22. Diplomats, led by Pakistan, are arranging a second round of negotiations before April 30 to avert escalation, boosting trader consensus on repeat US participation by proven envoys like Witkoff amid ongoing mediation efforts and White House optimism for de-escalation. Unresolved gaps on uranium enrichment and sanctions persist as key hurdles.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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