Illinois Democratic House incumbents who sought renomination decisively won their March 17, 2026, primaries, defeating nominal challengers or running unopposed in districts including the 1st (Jonathan Jackson), 3rd (Delia Ramirez), 5th (Mike Quigley), 6th (Sean Casten), 10th (Brad Schneider), 11th (Bill Foster), 13th (Nikki Budzinski), 14th (Lauren Underwood), and 17th (Eric Sorensen). High-profile exits created open primaries in seats like the 2nd (Robin Kelly pursued U.S. Senate), 9th (Jan Schakowsky retired), and 8th (Raja Krishnamoorthi eyed Senate), but no incumbent suffered defeat at the polls. With results certified and no recounts reported, trader consensus prices a 62% implied probability of "No" upset, accounting for minor post-primary certification formalities amid low-turnout midterm dynamics.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$413 Hac.
$413 Hac.
17 Mar 2026
$413 Hac.
$413 Hac.
17 Mar 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any incumbent member of the US House of Representatives loses a Democratic primary for re-election to their House seat in the upcoming Illinois primary elections, scheduled for March 17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only losses by incumbents who participate in the primary as a formal and current candidate will count. Incumbents choosing not to run for re-election, withdrawing before the primary, being removed from the ballot before voting begins, or otherwise not participating in the primary as a candidate will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Illinois Democratic House incumbents who sought renomination decisively won their March 17, 2026, primaries, defeating nominal challengers or running unopposed in districts including the 1st (Jonathan Jackson), 3rd (Delia Ramirez), 5th (Mike Quigley), 6th (Sean Casten), 10th (Brad Schneider), 11th (Bill Foster), 13th (Nikki Budzinski), 14th (Lauren Underwood), and 17th (Eric Sorensen). High-profile exits created open primaries in seats like the 2nd (Robin Kelly pursued U.S. Senate), 9th (Jan Schakowsky retired), and 8th (Raja Krishnamoorthi eyed Senate), but no incumbent suffered defeat at the polls. With results certified and no recounts reported, trader consensus prices a 62% implied probability of "No" upset, accounting for minor post-primary certification formalities amid low-turnout midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any incumbent member of the US House of Representatives loses a Democratic primary for re-election to their House seat in the upcoming Illinois primary elections, scheduled for March 17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only losses by incumbents who participate in the primary as a formal and current candidate will count. Incumbents choosing not to run for re-election, withdrawing before the primary, being removed from the ballot before voting begins, or otherwise not participating in the primary as a candidate will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only losses by incumbents who participate in the primary as a formal and current candidate will count. Incumbents choosing not to run for re-election, withdrawing before the primary, being removed from the ballot before voting begins, or otherwise not participating in the primary as a candidate will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 11, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Hacim
$413Bitiş Tarihi
17 Mar 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 11, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any incumbent member of the US House of Representatives loses a Democratic primary for re-election to their House seat in the upcoming Illinois primary elections, scheduled for March 17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only losses by incumbents who participate in the primary as a formal and current candidate will count. Incumbents choosing not to run for re-election, withdrawing before the primary, being removed from the ballot before voting begins, or otherwise not participating in the primary as a candidate will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Illinois Democratic House incumbents who sought renomination decisively won their March 17, 2026, primaries, defeating nominal challengers or running unopposed in districts including the 1st (Jonathan Jackson), 3rd (Delia Ramirez), 5th (Mike Quigley), 6th (Sean Casten), 10th (Brad Schneider), 11th (Bill Foster), 13th (Nikki Budzinski), 14th (Lauren Underwood), and 17th (Eric Sorensen). High-profile exits created open primaries in seats like the 2nd (Robin Kelly pursued U.S. Senate), 9th (Jan Schakowsky retired), and 8th (Raja Krishnamoorthi eyed Senate), but no incumbent suffered defeat at the polls. With results certified and no recounts reported, trader consensus prices a 62% implied probability of "No" upset, accounting for minor post-primary certification formalities amid low-turnout midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any incumbent member of the US House of Representatives loses a Democratic primary for re-election to their House seat in the upcoming Illinois primary elections, scheduled for March 17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only losses by incumbents who participate in the primary as a formal and current candidate will count. Incumbents choosing not to run for re-election, withdrawing before the primary, being removed from the ballot before voting begins, or otherwise not participating in the primary as a candidate will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only losses by incumbents who participate in the primary as a formal and current candidate will count. Incumbents choosing not to run for re-election, withdrawing before the primary, being removed from the ballot before voting begins, or otherwise not participating in the primary as a candidate will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$413Bitiş Tarihi
17 Mar 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 11, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Illinois Democratic House incumbents who sought renomination decisively won their March 17, 2026, primaries, defeating nominal challengers or running unopposed in districts including the 1st (Jonathan Jackson), 3rd (Delia Ramirez), 5th (Mike Quigley), 6th (Sean Casten), 10th (Brad Schneider), 11th (Bill Foster), 13th (Nikki Budzinski), 14th (Lauren Underwood), and 17th (Eric Sorensen). High-profile exits created open primaries in seats like the 2nd (Robin Kelly pursued U.S. Senate), 9th (Jan Schakowsky retired), and 8th (Raja Krishnamoorthi eyed Senate), but no incumbent suffered defeat at the polls. With results certified and no recounts reported, trader consensus prices a 62% implied probability of "No" upset, accounting for minor post-primary certification formalities amid low-turnout midterm dynamics.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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