OpenAI’s ChatGPT service has experienced repeated brief disruptions throughout 2026, including a widespread outage on July 25 that prevented chat loading and history access for millions, plus elevated errors with image generation and conversations on August 5 and user-reported issues on August 7. These incidents, tracked via Downdetector spikes and quickly resolved per OpenAI’s status page showing 99.66% ChatGPT uptime for the May–August period, underscore the platform’s sensitivity to scaling demands on its large language model infrastructure. Traders monitoring the “ChatGPT Outage on…?” market focus on these patterns, recent recovery announcements, and any upcoming model updates or feature rollouts that could strain capacity, as skin-in-the-game odds reflect real capital assessing the likelihood of further downtime amid ongoing AI capability expansions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоChatGPT Outage on...?
August 8
3%
August 9
6%
August 10
13%
August 11
14%
August 12
15%
August 13
14%
August 14
13%
$2,895 Обс.
August 8
3%
August 9
6%
August 10
13%
August 11
14%
August 12
15%
August 13
14%
August 14
13%
ChatGPT will be considered to have experienced a qualifying incident on the specified day if the OpenAI Status Page for ChatGPT (status.openai.com) displays that day’s status box as a shade of red indicating Partial/Full Outage once it is finalized. (green indicates "No incidents", yellow indicates "Degraded performance"). A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box is added on the Status Page.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
This market will remain open until the specified day’s status box is finalized and all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved. Revisions that change an incident’s impact classification to or from 'Partial/Full Outage' will be considered if the revision is published before the specified day’s status box is finalized or before all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved.
This market will resolve once the specified day’s status box is finalized, provided no incident that began during the specified date is ongoing. In case of an ongoing incident the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If the incident in question is not resolved or all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...ChatGPT will be considered to have experienced a qualifying incident on the specified day if the OpenAI Status Page for ChatGPT (status.openai.com) displays that day’s status box as a shade of red indicating Partial/Full Outage once it is finalized. (green indicates "No incidents", yellow indicates "Degraded performance"). A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box is added on the Status Page.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
This market will remain open until the specified day’s status box is finalized and all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved. Revisions that change an incident’s impact classification to or from 'Partial/Full Outage' will be considered if the revision is published before the specified day’s status box is finalized or before all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved.
This market will resolve once the specified day’s status box is finalized, provided no incident that began during the specified date is ongoing. In case of an ongoing incident the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If the incident in question is not resolved or all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s ChatGPT service has experienced repeated brief disruptions throughout 2026, including a widespread outage on July 25 that prevented chat loading and history access for millions, plus elevated errors with image generation and conversations on August 5 and user-reported issues on August 7. These incidents, tracked via Downdetector spikes and quickly resolved per OpenAI’s status page showing 99.66% ChatGPT uptime for the May–August period, underscore the platform’s sensitivity to scaling demands on its large language model infrastructure. Traders monitoring the “ChatGPT Outage on…?” market focus on these patterns, recent recovery announcements, and any upcoming model updates or feature rollouts that could strain capacity, as skin-in-the-game odds reflect real capital assessing the likelihood of further downtime amid ongoing AI capability expansions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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