Mercedes holds a commanding constructors’ championship lead through consistent double-points finishes and strong power unit performance, reflected in the market’s overwhelming 89.5% implied probability. Early-season dominance, including multiple race wins by Kimi Antonelli and George Russell, built an insurmountable points cushion despite mid-season development constraints under the cost cap. Ferrari and McLaren have narrowed the on-track gap with targeted upgrades and recent victories, yet their combined deficit remains substantial heading into the final races. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include sustained reliability problems for Mercedes or an accelerated late-season upgrade battle that allows rivals to maximize remaining points hauls before the season concludes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMercedes 90%
Ferrari 9.6%
McLaren <1%
Red Bull Racing <1%
$28,612,583 Обс.
$28,612,583 Обс.
Dec 5, 2026
Mercedes
90%
Ferrari
10%
McLaren
1%
Red Bull Racing
<1%
Aston Martin
<1%
Williams
<1%
Audi
<1%
Cadillac
<1%
Racing Bulls
<1%
Haas
<1%
Alpine
<1%
Mercedes 90%
Ferrari 9.6%
McLaren <1%
Red Bull Racing <1%
$28,612,583 Обс.
$28,612,583 Обс.
Dec 5, 2026
Mercedes
$1,081,191 Обс.
90%
Ferrari
$785,602 Обс.
10%
McLaren
$1,810,977 Обс.
1%
Red Bull Racing
$956,299 Обс.
<1%
Aston Martin
$3,304,808 Обс.
<1%
Williams
$3,809,226 Обс.
<1%
Audi
$3,245,367 Обс.
<1%
Cadillac
$3,708,658 Обс.
<1%
Racing Bulls
$3,242,382 Обс.
<1%
Haas
$3,317,135 Обс.
<1%
Alpine
$3,350,937 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a commanding constructors’ championship lead through consistent double-points finishes and strong power unit performance, reflected in the market’s overwhelming 89.5% implied probability. Early-season dominance, including multiple race wins by Kimi Antonelli and George Russell, built an insurmountable points cushion despite mid-season development constraints under the cost cap. Ferrari and McLaren have narrowed the on-track gap with targeted upgrades and recent victories, yet their combined deficit remains substantial heading into the final races. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include sustained reliability problems for Mercedes or an accelerated late-season upgrade battle that allows rivals to maximize remaining points hauls before the season concludes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Обсяг
$28,612,583Дата завершення
Dec 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a commanding constructors’ championship lead through consistent double-points finishes and strong power unit performance, reflected in the market’s overwhelming 89.5% implied probability. Early-season dominance, including multiple race wins by Kimi Antonelli and George Russell, built an insurmountable points cushion despite mid-season development constraints under the cost cap. Ferrari and McLaren have narrowed the on-track gap with targeted upgrades and recent victories, yet their combined deficit remains substantial heading into the final races. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include sustained reliability problems for Mercedes or an accelerated late-season upgrade battle that allows rivals to maximize remaining points hauls before the season concludes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Обсяг
$28,612,583Дата завершення
Dec 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding constructors’ championship lead through consistent double-points finishes and strong power unit performance, reflected in the market’s overwhelming 89.5% implied probability. Early-season dominance, including multiple race wins by Kimi Antonelli and George Russell, built an insurmountable points cushion despite mid-season development constraints under the cost cap. Ferrari and McLaren have narrowed the on-track gap with targeted upgrades and recent victories, yet their combined deficit remains substantial heading into the final races. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include sustained reliability problems for Mercedes or an accelerated late-season upgrade battle that allows rivals to maximize remaining points hauls before the season concludes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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