France's superior squad depth and FIFA rankings position them as the clear trader consensus favorite at 70.5% implied probability to win Group I, bolstered by stars like Kylian Mbappé and recent shrugs off Hugo Ekitike's Achilles rupture that sidelines the fringe Liverpool forward. Norway sits second at 20.5% on Erling Haaland's goal threat and Martin Ødegaard's playmaking, though Ødegaard's March knee injury recovery and Haaland's recent rest amid misfiring form introduce minor uncertainty. Senegal's 6.0% reflects competitive African form but tough openers versus France, while Iraq's March 31 playoff triumph over Bolivia (2-1)—their first World Cup return in 40 years—keeps BOL/IRQ/SUR at negligible 0.3% amid massive talent gap.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFrance 70%
Norway 21%
Senegal 6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR <1%
$112,431 Обс.
$112,431 Обс.
Jun 27, 2026
France
70%
Norway
21%
Senegal
6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR
<1%
France 70%
Norway 21%
Senegal 6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR <1%
$112,431 Обс.
$112,431 Обс.
Jun 27, 2026
France
$44,746 Обс.
70%
Norway
$11,762 Обс.
21%
Senegal
$14,107 Обс.
6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR
$41,817 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's superior squad depth and FIFA rankings position them as the clear trader consensus favorite at 70.5% implied probability to win Group I, bolstered by stars like Kylian Mbappé and recent shrugs off Hugo Ekitike's Achilles rupture that sidelines the fringe Liverpool forward. Norway sits second at 20.5% on Erling Haaland's goal threat and Martin Ødegaard's playmaking, though Ødegaard's March knee injury recovery and Haaland's recent rest amid misfiring form introduce minor uncertainty. Senegal's 6.0% reflects competitive African form but tough openers versus France, while Iraq's March 31 playoff triumph over Bolivia (2-1)—their first World Cup return in 40 years—keeps BOL/IRQ/SUR at negligible 0.3% amid massive talent gap.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$112,431Дата завершення
Jun 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's superior squad depth and FIFA rankings position them as the clear trader consensus favorite at 70.5% implied probability to win Group I, bolstered by stars like Kylian Mbappé and recent shrugs off Hugo Ekitike's Achilles rupture that sidelines the fringe Liverpool forward. Norway sits second at 20.5% on Erling Haaland's goal threat and Martin Ødegaard's playmaking, though Ødegaard's March knee injury recovery and Haaland's recent rest amid misfiring form introduce minor uncertainty. Senegal's 6.0% reflects competitive African form but tough openers versus France, while Iraq's March 31 playoff triumph over Bolivia (2-1)—their first World Cup return in 40 years—keeps BOL/IRQ/SUR at negligible 0.3% amid massive talent gap.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$112,431Дата завершення
Jun 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...France's superior squad depth and FIFA rankings position them as the clear trader consensus favorite at 70.5% implied probability to win Group I, bolstered by stars like Kylian Mbappé and recent shrugs off Hugo Ekitike's Achilles rupture that sidelines the fringe Liverpool forward. Norway sits second at 20.5% on Erling Haaland's goal threat and Martin Ødegaard's playmaking, though Ødegaard's March knee injury recovery and Haaland's recent rest amid misfiring form introduce minor uncertainty. Senegal's 6.0% reflects competitive African form but tough openers versus France, while Iraq's March 31 playoff triumph over Bolivia (2-1)—their first World Cup return in 40 years—keeps BOL/IRQ/SUR at negligible 0.3% amid massive talent gap.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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