Google's Gemini models trail OpenAI's GPT-5.4, which leads the FrontierMath benchmark at around 48% overall—38% on the ultra-challenging Tier 4 research problems—as of April 2026, while Gemini 3.1 Pro scores approximately 37% and earlier Gemini 3 Pro Preview hit 19% on Tier 4. Recent launches like Gemini 3 Deep Think in February 2026 have boosted mathematical reasoning for scientific discovery, narrowing the gap through enhanced chain-of-thought processing and error-checking. Competitive pressure from OpenAI's March record has spurred trader optimism for Google's response, especially ahead of Google I/O on May 19-20, where new model previews or capability demos could drive score improvements by June 30 amid rapid AI scaling trends.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоGoogle Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$127,679 Обс.
Feb 28, 2026
40%+
92%
45%+
41%
50%+
33%
60%+
17%
$127,679 Обс.
40%+
$30,444 Обс.
92%
45%+
$48,271 Обс.
41%
50%+
$18,709 Обс.
33%
60%+
$30,255 Обс.
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Google's Gemini models trail OpenAI's GPT-5.4, which leads the FrontierMath benchmark at around 48% overall—38% on the ultra-challenging Tier 4 research problems—as of April 2026, while Gemini 3.1 Pro scores approximately 37% and earlier Gemini 3 Pro Preview hit 19% on Tier 4. Recent launches like Gemini 3 Deep Think in February 2026 have boosted mathematical reasoning for scientific discovery, narrowing the gap through enhanced chain-of-thought processing and error-checking. Competitive pressure from OpenAI's March record has spurred trader optimism for Google's response, especially ahead of Google I/O on May 19-20, where new model previews or capability demos could drive score improvements by June 30 amid rapid AI scaling trends.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$127,679Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Google's Gemini models trail OpenAI's GPT-5.4, which leads the FrontierMath benchmark at around 48% overall—38% on the ultra-challenging Tier 4 research problems—as of April 2026, while Gemini 3.1 Pro scores approximately 37% and earlier Gemini 3 Pro Preview hit 19% on Tier 4. Recent launches like Gemini 3 Deep Think in February 2026 have boosted mathematical reasoning for scientific discovery, narrowing the gap through enhanced chain-of-thought processing and error-checking. Competitive pressure from OpenAI's March record has spurred trader optimism for Google's response, especially ahead of Google I/O on May 19-20, where new model previews or capability demos could drive score improvements by June 30 amid rapid AI scaling trends.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$127,679Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google's Gemini models trail OpenAI's GPT-5.4, which leads the FrontierMath benchmark at around 48% overall—38% on the ultra-challenging Tier 4 research problems—as of April 2026, while Gemini 3.1 Pro scores approximately 37% and earlier Gemini 3 Pro Preview hit 19% on Tier 4. Recent launches like Gemini 3 Deep Think in February 2026 have boosted mathematical reasoning for scientific discovery, narrowing the gap through enhanced chain-of-thought processing and error-checking. Competitive pressure from OpenAI's March record has spurred trader optimism for Google's response, especially ahead of Google I/O on May 19-20, where new model previews or capability demos could drive score improvements by June 30 amid rapid AI scaling trends.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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