Recent opinion polls ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election project Likud at 19–26 seats, well below its 32-seat result from the 2022 vote. Multiple surveys released in late August show Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party either leading or tied with Likud, while the launch of Brig. Gen. (res.) Ofer Winter’s new “Amcha Yisrael” party has drawn support from the broader right-wing bloc, pushing Religious Zionism below the electoral threshold in several polls and leaving Netanyahu’s coalition bloc at 43–51 seats. Netanyahu has publicly acknowledged the loss of roughly ten mandates and the difficulty of recovering them before election day. These trends reflect sustained voter shifts within the right and center-right, producing the current trader consensus on seat losses for Likud.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено92% шанс
$14,398 Обс.
$14,398 Обс.
Oct 26, 2026
92% шанс
$14,398 Обс.
$14,398 Обс.
Oct 26, 2026
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent opinion polls ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election project Likud at 19–26 seats, well below its 32-seat result from the 2022 vote. Multiple surveys released in late August show Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party either leading or tied with Likud, while the launch of Brig. Gen. (res.) Ofer Winter’s new “Amcha Yisrael” party has drawn support from the broader right-wing bloc, pushing Religious Zionism below the electoral threshold in several polls and leaving Netanyahu’s coalition bloc at 43–51 seats. Netanyahu has publicly acknowledged the loss of roughly ten mandates and the difficulty of recovering them before election day. These trends reflect sustained voter shifts within the right and center-right, producing the current trader consensus on seat losses for Likud.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Обсяг
$14,398Дата завершення
Oct 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent opinion polls ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election project Likud at 19–26 seats, well below its 32-seat result from the 2022 vote. Multiple surveys released in late August show Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party either leading or tied with Likud, while the launch of Brig. Gen. (res.) Ofer Winter’s new “Amcha Yisrael” party has drawn support from the broader right-wing bloc, pushing Religious Zionism below the electoral threshold in several polls and leaving Netanyahu’s coalition bloc at 43–51 seats. Netanyahu has publicly acknowledged the loss of roughly ten mandates and the difficulty of recovering them before election day. These trends reflect sustained voter shifts within the right and center-right, producing the current trader consensus on seat losses for Likud.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Обсяг
$14,398Дата завершення
Oct 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent opinion polls ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election project Likud at 19–26 seats, well below its 32-seat result from the 2022 vote. Multiple surveys released in late August show Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party either leading or tied with Likud, while the launch of Brig. Gen. (res.) Ofer Winter’s new “Amcha Yisrael” party has drawn support from the broader right-wing bloc, pushing Religious Zionism below the electoral threshold in several polls and leaving Netanyahu’s coalition bloc at 43–51 seats. Netanyahu has publicly acknowledged the loss of roughly ten mandates and the difficulty of recovering them before election day. These trends reflect sustained voter shifts within the right and center-right, producing the current trader consensus on seat losses for Likud.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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