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Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?

icon for Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?

Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?

3% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
3% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump's repeated expressions of interest in reengaging with Kim Jong Un, including recent outreach and comments on positive responses from Pyongyang, have sustained speculation about possible summits. However, these discussions center on meetings in third locations such as the DMZ or neutral venues rather than a visit by the North Korean leader to US territory. North Korea maintains no formal diplomatic relations with the United States, conditions any dialogue on shifts in US policy regarding sanctions and nuclear recognition, and has not signaled willingness for Kim to travel to Washington or other American sites. Limited time remaining in 2026, combined with ongoing missile activity, alliance frictions with South Korea, and North Korea's deepening ties to China and Russia, reinforce trader consensus against a US visit. A late-year diplomatic pivot or invitation acceptance could still alter the outcome before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$64
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump's repeated expressions of interest in reengaging with Kim Jong Un, including recent outreach and comments on positive responses from Pyongyang, have sustained speculation about possible summits. However, these discussions center on meetings in third locations such as the DMZ or neutral venues rather than a visit by the North Korean leader to US territory. North Korea maintains no formal diplomatic relations with the United States, conditions any dialogue on shifts in US policy regarding sanctions and nuclear recognition, and has not signaled willingness for Kim to travel to Washington or other American sites. Limited time remaining in 2026, combined with ongoing missile activity, alliance frictions with South Korea, and North Korea's deepening ties to China and Russia, reinforce trader consensus against a US visit. A late-year diplomatic pivot or invitation acceptance could still alter the outcome before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$64
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 3% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 3¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 3%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 18, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?» — 3% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 3% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.