Meta’s internal push to launch the Mango image and video generation model in the first half of 2026 remains the central factor shaping trader views on its release timeline. December 2025 reporting confirmed the codenamed project alongside the text-focused Avocado large language model, both positioned to strengthen Meta’s multimodal offerings against rivals such as OpenAI’s Sora. No public demos, beta releases, or revised schedules have surfaced since the initial disclosure, leaving market-implied odds anchored to Meta’s historical pattern of aligning major AI rollouts with developer conferences or earnings cycles. Key near-term catalysts include any updates at upcoming Meta events or supply-chain signals that could accelerate or delay the H1 window, while broader AI infrastructure constraints and competitive benchmarking continue to influence sentiment on execution risk.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMeta "Mango" model released by...?
$26,583 Обс.
June 30
12%
$26,583 Обс.
June 30
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.
A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.
Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 22, 2025, 1:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.
A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.
Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Meta’s internal push to launch the Mango image and video generation model in the first half of 2026 remains the central factor shaping trader views on its release timeline. December 2025 reporting confirmed the codenamed project alongside the text-focused Avocado large language model, both positioned to strengthen Meta’s multimodal offerings against rivals such as OpenAI’s Sora. No public demos, beta releases, or revised schedules have surfaced since the initial disclosure, leaving market-implied odds anchored to Meta’s historical pattern of aligning major AI rollouts with developer conferences or earnings cycles. Key near-term catalysts include any updates at upcoming Meta events or supply-chain signals that could accelerate or delay the H1 window, while broader AI infrastructure constraints and competitive benchmarking continue to influence sentiment on execution risk.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання