Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon (65.5% implied probability), driven by a Guardian report on April 16 where studio heads urged patience amid ongoing deliberations by producers Barbara Broccoli and Michael G. Wilson for Bond 26. Callum Turner holds frontrunner status at 19% following persistent casting rumors amplified by his coy Berlinale response in February, positioning him ahead of Aaron Taylor-Johnson (5.7%), whose earlier buzz has faded without confirmation. Jacob Elordi (3.1%) gains from recent odds shifts in UK bookies, but the lack of official announcements or screen tests keeps uncertainty high, with potential reveals tied to Denis Villeneuve's pre-production timeline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНаступний актор Джеймса Бонда?
Наступний актор Джеймса Бонда?
Бонда не обрали 66%
Каллум Тернер 19%
Аарон Тейлор-Джонсон 5.7%
Джейкоб Елорді 3.1%
$1,818,971 Обс.
$1,818,971 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
Бонда не обрали
66%
Каллум Тернер
19%
Аарон Тейлор-Джонсон
6%
Джейкоб Елорді
3%
Генрі Кавілл
2%
Тео Джеймс
1%
Том Гарді
1%
Джеймс Нортон
<1%
Пол Мескал
<1%
Джош О'Коннор
<1%
Джек Лоудон
<1%
Гарріс Дікінсон
<1%
Пірс Броснан
<1%
Том Голланд
<1%
Роберт Джеймс-Коллієр
<1%
Бонда не обрали 66%
Каллум Тернер 19%
Аарон Тейлор-Джонсон 5.7%
Джейкоб Елорді 3.1%
$1,818,971 Обс.
$1,818,971 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
Бонда не обрали
$250,560 Обс.
66%
Каллум Тернер
$122,101 Обс.
19%
Аарон Тейлор-Джонсон
$98,802 Обс.
6%
Джейкоб Елорді
$235,972 Обс.
3%
Генрі Кавілл
$251,185 Обс.
2%
Тео Джеймс
$26,961 Обс.
1%
Том Гарді
$75,982 Обс.
1%
Джеймс Нортон
$110,802 Обс.
<1%
Пол Мескал
$100,996 Обс.
<1%
Джош О'Коннор
$31,737 Обс.
<1%
Джек Лоудон
$83,236 Обс.
<1%
Гарріс Дікінсон
$148,477 Обс.
<1%
Пірс Броснан
$180,265 Обс.
<1%
Том Голланд
$70,514 Обс.
<1%
Роберт Джеймс-Коллієр
$31,379 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon (65.5% implied probability), driven by a Guardian report on April 16 where studio heads urged patience amid ongoing deliberations by producers Barbara Broccoli and Michael G. Wilson for Bond 26. Callum Turner holds frontrunner status at 19% following persistent casting rumors amplified by his coy Berlinale response in February, positioning him ahead of Aaron Taylor-Johnson (5.7%), whose earlier buzz has faded without confirmation. Jacob Elordi (3.1%) gains from recent odds shifts in UK bookies, but the lack of official announcements or screen tests keeps uncertainty high, with potential reveals tied to Denis Villeneuve's pre-production timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,818,971Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon (65.5% implied probability), driven by a Guardian report on April 16 where studio heads urged patience amid ongoing deliberations by producers Barbara Broccoli and Michael G. Wilson for Bond 26. Callum Turner holds frontrunner status at 19% following persistent casting rumors amplified by his coy Berlinale response in February, positioning him ahead of Aaron Taylor-Johnson (5.7%), whose earlier buzz has faded without confirmation. Jacob Elordi (3.1%) gains from recent odds shifts in UK bookies, but the lack of official announcements or screen tests keeps uncertainty high, with potential reveals tied to Denis Villeneuve's pre-production timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,818,971Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon (65.5% implied probability), driven by a Guardian report on April 16 where studio heads urged patience amid ongoing deliberations by producers Barbara Broccoli and Michael G. Wilson for Bond 26. Callum Turner holds frontrunner status at 19% following persistent casting rumors amplified by his coy Berlinale response in February, positioning him ahead of Aaron Taylor-Johnson (5.7%), whose earlier buzz has faded without confirmation. Jacob Elordi (3.1%) gains from recent odds shifts in UK bookies, but the lack of official announcements or screen tests keeps uncertainty high, with potential reveals tied to Denis Villeneuve's pre-production timeline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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