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Політика·Нагороди

Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року

icon for Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року
Політика·Нагороди

Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року

Юлія Навальна 10%

Володимир Зеленський 7.0%

БАПОР 4.7%

Папа Лев XIV 3.5%

Polymarket

$23,096,861 Обс.

Юлія Навальна 10%

Володимир Зеленський 7.0%

БАПОР 4.7%

Папа Лев XIV 3.5%

Polymarket

$23,096,861 Обс.

icon for Юлія Навальна

Юлія Навальна

$282,422 Обс.

10%

icon for Володимир Зеленський

Володимир Зеленський

$770,216 Обс.

7%

icon for БАПОР

БАПОР

$2,036,886 Обс.

5%

icon for Папа Лев XIV

Папа Лев XIV

$803,863 Обс.

3%

icon for Тамі́м бін Хама́д Аль Тані

Тамі́м бін Хама́д Аль Тані

$774,931 Обс.

3%

icon for Дональд Трамп

Дональд Трамп

$4,202,152 Обс.

3%

icon for Міжнародний суд ООН

Міжнародний суд ООН

$891,980 Обс.

2%

icon for Джуліан Ассанж

Джуліан Ассанж

$849,049 Обс.

1%

icon for Нарендра Моді

Нарендра Моді

$680,669 Обс.

1%

icon for Грета Тунберг

Грета Тунберг

$1,450,302 Обс.

1%

icon for Антоніу Гутерріш

Антоніу Гутерріш

$616,342 Обс.

1%

icon for Ахмед аль-Шараа

Ахмед аль-Шараа

$1,255,537 Обс.

1%

icon for Сі Цзіньпін

Сі Цзіньпін

$1,432,061 Обс.

1%

icon for Мухаммед бін Салман

Мухаммед бін Салман

$1,161,597 Обс.

1%

icon for Халед Машаль

Халед Машаль

$864,786 Обс.

1%

icon for Реджеп Таїп Ердоган

Реджеп Таїп Ердоган

$1,049,650 Обс.

1%

icon for Чарлі Кірк

Чарлі Кірк

$1,242,942 Обс.

1%

icon for Ілон Маск

Ілон Маск

$1,157,910 Обс.

<1%

icon for Володимир Путін

Володимир Путін

$894,704 Обс.

<1%

icon for Біньямін Нетаньяху

Біньямін Нетаньяху

$678,863 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Yulia Navalnaya holds a narrow edge in the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize market at 9.5% implied probability, driven by her continued visibility as a Russian opposition figure following Alexei Navalny’s death, which has sustained trader interest amid limited early frontrunners. The field remains tightly bunched below 10%, reflecting the award’s inherent unpredictability and the sealed nomination process that favors no single candidate this far out. Zelenskyy trails at 7% on his wartime leadership profile, while organizations such as UNRWA and the International Court of Justice sit lower due to geopolitical sensitivities. Upcoming developments like major peace initiatives or high-profile advocacy could quickly shift sentiment before October’s announcement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Обсяг
$23,096,861
Дата завершення
Oct 10, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Yulia Navalnaya holds a narrow edge in the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize market at 9.5% implied probability, driven by her continued visibility as a Russian opposition figure following Alexei Navalny’s death, which has sustained trader interest amid limited early frontrunners. The field remains tightly bunched below 10%, reflecting the award’s inherent unpredictability and the sealed nomination process that favors no single candidate this far out. Zelenskyy trails at 7% on his wartime leadership profile, while organizations such as UNRWA and the International Court of Justice sit lower due to geopolitical sensitivities. Upcoming developments like major peace initiatives or high-profile advocacy could quickly shift sentiment before October’s announcement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Обсяг
$23,096,861
Дата завершення
Oct 10, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Пов'язане

icon for Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

9%
icon for Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?

9%
icon for Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?

Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?

13%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 20 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Юлія Навальна» з 10%, далі «Володимир Зеленський» з 7%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року» згенерував $23.1 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Oct 16, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року», перегляньте 20 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року» — «Юлія Навальна» з 10%. Наступний — «Володимир Зеленський» з 7%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.