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icon for Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року
Політика·Нагороди

Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року

icon for Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року
Політика·Нагороди

Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms 8.8%

Юлія Навальна 8%

Save the Children 6.6%

БАПОР 5.1%

Polymarket

$24,154,831 Обс.

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms 8.8%

Юлія Навальна 8%

Save the Children 6.6%

БАПОР 5.1%

Polymarket

$24,154,831 Обс.

icon for Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$10,341 Обс.

9%

icon for Юлія Навальна

Юлія Навальна

$298,550 Обс.

8%

icon for Save the Children

Save the Children

$7,106 Обс.

7%

icon for БАПОР

БАПОР

$2,054,188 Обс.

5%

icon for Міжнародний суд ООН

Міжнародний суд ООН

$915,461 Обс.

5%

icon for Дональд Трамп

Дональд Трамп

$4,780,760 Обс.

2%

icon for Тамі́м бін Хама́д Аль Тані

Тамі́м бін Хама́д Аль Тані

$789,928 Обс.

2%

icon for Володимир Зеленський

Володимир Зеленський

$824,015 Обс.

2%

icon for Sara Al-Saqqa

Sara Al-Saqqa

$3,742 Обс.

2%

icon for Ахмед аль-Шараа

Ахмед аль-Шараа

$1,274,629 Обс.

1%

icon for Нарендра Моді

Нарендра Моді

$688,671 Обс.

1%

icon for ICRC

ICRC

$3,470 Обс.

1%

icon for World Central Kitchen

World Central Kitchen

$3,294 Обс.

1%

icon for Грета Тунберг

Грета Тунберг

$1,474,075 Обс.

1%

icon for Chow Hang-tung

Chow Hang-tung

$3,006 Обс.

1%

icon for Committee to Protect Journalists

Committee to Protect Journalists

$3,433 Обс.

1%

icon for Папа Лев XIV

Папа Лев XIV

$821,932 Обс.

1%

icon for Антоніу Гутерріш

Антоніу Гутерріш

$641,652 Обс.

1%

icon for Reporters Without Borders

Reporters Without Borders

$2,595 Обс.

1%

icon for Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

$2,335 Обс.

1%

icon for Джуліан Ассанж

Джуліан Ассанж

$857,022 Обс.

<1%

icon for Сі Цзіньпін

Сі Цзіньпін

$1,436,066 Обс.

<1%

icon for Hussam Abu Safiya

Hussam Abu Safiya

$4,198 Обс.

<1%

icon for UNHCR

UNHCR

$3,696 Обс.

<1%

icon for Ілон Маск

Ілон Маск

$1,195,928 Обс.

<1%

icon for Володимир Путін

Володимир Путін

$922,410 Обс.

<1%

icon for Халед Машаль

Халед Машаль

$880,634 Обс.

<1%

icon for Біньямін Нетаньяху

Біньямін Нетаньяху

$711,227 Обс.

<1%

icon for Реджеп Таїп Ердоган

Реджеп Таїп Ердоган

$1,067,802 Обс.

<1%

icon for Чарлі Кірк

Чарлі Кірк

$1,279,704 Обс.

<1%

icon for Мухаммед бін Салман

Мухаммед бін Салман

$1,192,962 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.The closely matched field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize reflects intense trader uncertainty, with no candidate exceeding single-digit market-implied odds amid the secretive Nobel committee process and a crowded slate of humanitarian and diplomatic contenders. Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms hold the edge through documented grassroots work in conflict zones, while Yulia Navalnaya and Save the Children benefit from sustained visibility in opposition and aid narratives. Factors like recent global crises, precursor recognitions from international bodies, and media momentum differentiate frontrunners, yet historical upsets and last-minute shifts remain common. The October announcement looms as the key catalyst that could rapidly reshape consensus.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Обсяг
$24,154,831
Дата завершення
Oct 10, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.The closely matched field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize reflects intense trader uncertainty, with no candidate exceeding single-digit market-implied odds amid the secretive Nobel committee process and a crowded slate of humanitarian and diplomatic contenders. Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms hold the edge through documented grassroots work in conflict zones, while Yulia Navalnaya and Save the Children benefit from sustained visibility in opposition and aid narratives. Factors like recent global crises, precursor recognitions from international bodies, and media momentum differentiate frontrunners, yet historical upsets and last-minute shifts remain common. The October announcement looms as the key catalyst that could rapidly reshape consensus.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Обсяг
$24,154,831
Дата завершення
Oct 10, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x2F5e3684c...

Пов'язане

icon for Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

10%
icon for Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?

7%
icon for Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?

Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?

16%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 31 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms» з 9%, далі «Юлія Навальна» з 8%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року» згенерував $24.2 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Oct 16, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року», перегляньте 31 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Це відкритий ринок. Поточний лідер для «Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року» — «Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms» лише з 9%, а «Юлія Навальна» — близько позаду з 8%. Жоден результат не має впевненої більшості — трейдери вважають це дуже невизначеним.

Правила вирішення для «Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.