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icon for Services Down Parlay

Services Down Parlay

icon for Services Down Parlay

Services Down Parlay

2% шанс
Polymarket

$14,649 Обс.

2% шанс
Polymarket

$14,649 Обс.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - AWS service disrupted - Critical Discord Incident - Critical Cloudflare incident Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdfMajor cloud and communication platforms have demonstrated exceptional reliability in recent months, with independent infrastructure and redundant systems making simultaneous critical incidents across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare extremely unlikely. Trader consensus at 97.8% for No reflects this track record, as individual service disruptions remain infrequent and coordinated failures across providers with distinct architectures are rarer still. While a widespread cyber event or cascading technical failure could theoretically trigger the required outages before resolution, such scenarios have not materialized in verified reports and would need precise timing to overcome the market's strong positioning.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
Обсяг
$14,649
Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - AWS service disrupted - Critical Discord Incident - Critical Cloudflare incident Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - AWS service disrupted - Critical Discord Incident - Critical Cloudflare incident Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdfMajor cloud and communication platforms have demonstrated exceptional reliability in recent months, with independent infrastructure and redundant systems making simultaneous critical incidents across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare extremely unlikely. Trader consensus at 97.8% for No reflects this track record, as individual service disruptions remain infrequent and coordinated failures across providers with distinct architectures are rarer still. While a widespread cyber event or cascading technical failure could theoretically trigger the required outages before resolution, such scenarios have not materialized in verified reports and would need precise timing to overcome the market's strong positioning.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
Обсяг
$14,649
Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - AWS service disrupted - Critical Discord Incident - Critical Cloudflare incident Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Services Down Parlay» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 2% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 2¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 2%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Services Down Parlay» згенерував $14.6K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Feb 11, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Services Down Parlay», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Services Down Parlay» — 2% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 2% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Services Down Parlay» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.