Trader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market reflects near-certainty at 97% for "No," as the March 31, 2026, deadline elapsed without AWS logging a "disrupted" severity event, or critical incidents at Discord or Cloudflare—all required for "Yes" resolution. This stability stems from the providers' multi-region redundancies, advanced monitoring dashboards, and proactive incident mitigation, defying forecasts of surging outages from AI-driven data loads. No qualifying disruptions occurred in the February 11 to March 31 window, per official status pages. Realistic risks include delayed incident reporting or disputes over severity classifications, though transparent logs make shifts improbable ahead of final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоServices Down Parlay
Services Down Parlay
$14,049 Обс.
$14,049 Обс.
Mar 31, 2026
$14,049 Обс.
$14,049 Обс.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market reflects near-certainty at 97% for "No," as the March 31, 2026, deadline elapsed without AWS logging a "disrupted" severity event, or critical incidents at Discord or Cloudflare—all required for "Yes" resolution. This stability stems from the providers' multi-region redundancies, advanced monitoring dashboards, and proactive incident mitigation, defying forecasts of surging outages from AI-driven data loads. No qualifying disruptions occurred in the February 11 to March 31 window, per official status pages. Realistic risks include delayed incident reporting or disputes over severity classifications, though transparent logs make shifts improbable ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
Ринок відкрито: Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$14,049Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market reflects near-certainty at 97% for "No," as the March 31, 2026, deadline elapsed without AWS logging a "disrupted" severity event, or critical incidents at Discord or Cloudflare—all required for "Yes" resolution. This stability stems from the providers' multi-region redundancies, advanced monitoring dashboards, and proactive incident mitigation, defying forecasts of surging outages from AI-driven data loads. No qualifying disruptions occurred in the February 11 to March 31 window, per official status pages. Realistic risks include delayed incident reporting or disputes over severity classifications, though transparent logs make shifts improbable ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
Обсяг
$14,049Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market reflects near-certainty at 97% for "No," as the March 31, 2026, deadline elapsed without AWS logging a "disrupted" severity event, or critical incidents at Discord or Cloudflare—all required for "Yes" resolution. This stability stems from the providers' multi-region redundancies, advanced monitoring dashboards, and proactive incident mitigation, defying forecasts of surging outages from AI-driven data loads. No qualifying disruptions occurred in the February 11 to March 31 window, per official status pages. Realistic risks include delayed incident reporting or disputes over severity classifications, though transparent logs make shifts improbable ahead of final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання