Ahmed Aliyu, the incumbent APC governor, holds the leading trader consensus at 67 percent following his unopposed adoption as the party’s consensus candidate for the February 2027 election. APC cohesion anchored by state structures and alignment with federal revenue flows has supported his position, while opposition parties face documented internal divisions, including parallel PDP candidates and recent APC-to-ADC defections that fragment challenger support. Lower-priced contenders such as Abdulrrahim Chindo, Manir Muhammad Dan Iya, and Mustapha Shehu reflect limited unified backing or party machinery at this stage. Scheduled primaries, ongoing security and fiscal developments, and any late coalition realignments remain the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities before voting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAhmed Aliyu 67%
Manir Muhammad Dan Iya 47%
Abdulrrahim Chindo 28%
Mustapha Shehu 25%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Feb 6, 2027
Ahmed Aliyu
67%
Manir Muhammad Dan Iya
47%
Abdulrrahim Chindo
28%
Mustapha Shehu
25%
Ahmed Aliyu 67%
Manir Muhammad Dan Iya 47%
Abdulrrahim Chindo 28%
Mustapha Shehu 25%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Feb 6, 2027
Ahmed Aliyu
$22 Обс.
67%
Manir Muhammad Dan Iya
$0 Обс.
47%
Abdulrrahim Chindo
$0 Обс.
28%
Mustapha Shehu
$0 Обс.
25%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Ahmed Aliyu, the incumbent APC governor, holds the leading trader consensus at 67 percent following his unopposed adoption as the party’s consensus candidate for the February 2027 election. APC cohesion anchored by state structures and alignment with federal revenue flows has supported his position, while opposition parties face documented internal divisions, including parallel PDP candidates and recent APC-to-ADC defections that fragment challenger support. Lower-priced contenders such as Abdulrrahim Chindo, Manir Muhammad Dan Iya, and Mustapha Shehu reflect limited unified backing or party machinery at this stage. Scheduled primaries, ongoing security and fiscal developments, and any late coalition realignments remain the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities before voting.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ET
Обсяг
$22Дата завершення
Feb 6, 2027Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Ahmed Aliyu, the incumbent APC governor, holds the leading trader consensus at 67 percent following his unopposed adoption as the party’s consensus candidate for the February 2027 election. APC cohesion anchored by state structures and alignment with federal revenue flows has supported his position, while opposition parties face documented internal divisions, including parallel PDP candidates and recent APC-to-ADC defections that fragment challenger support. Lower-priced contenders such as Abdulrrahim Chindo, Manir Muhammad Dan Iya, and Mustapha Shehu reflect limited unified backing or party machinery at this stage. Scheduled primaries, ongoing security and fiscal developments, and any late coalition realignments remain the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities before voting.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Обсяг
$22Дата завершення
Feb 6, 2027Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ahmed Aliyu, the incumbent APC governor, holds the leading trader consensus at 67 percent following his unopposed adoption as the party’s consensus candidate for the February 2027 election. APC cohesion anchored by state structures and alignment with federal revenue flows has supported his position, while opposition parties face documented internal divisions, including parallel PDP candidates and recent APC-to-ADC defections that fragment challenger support. Lower-priced contenders such as Abdulrrahim Chindo, Manir Muhammad Dan Iya, and Mustapha Shehu reflect limited unified backing or party machinery at this stage. Scheduled primaries, ongoing security and fiscal developments, and any late coalition realignments remain the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities before voting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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