Skip to main content

Щоб торгувати в США, перейдіть на polymarket.us

icon for What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
Фінанси·Щомісяця

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

icon for What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
Фінанси·Щомісяця

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$372,415 Обс.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$372,415 Обс.

Polymarket

↑ $10,000

$446 Обс.

3%

↑ $9,300

$10,126 Обс.

5%

↑ $9,000

$138 Обс.

11%

↑ $8,600

$31,871 Обс.

9%

↑ $8,200

$23,939 Обс.

27%

↑ $8,000

$583 Обс.

47%

↓ $7,400

$81 Обс.

66%

↓ $7,200

$415 Обс.

43%

↓ $7,000

$2,128 Обс.

25%

↓ $6,200

$60,386 Обс.

15%

↓ $6,000

$4,961 Обс.

9%

↓ $5,800

$44,511 Обс.

7%

↓ $5,200

$70,295 Обс.

4%

↓ $4,500

$62,517 Обс.

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.Recent Federal Reserve tightening, including the September 16, 2026, 25-basis-point hike to a 3.75-4.00% federal funds target range, stands as the dominant influence on S&P 500 levels heading into year-end. Persistent inflation, with August PCE near 3.6% and core measures around 3.2%, prompted the shift and signaled further increases ahead, pressuring valuations near 7,650 amid a 52-week range of 6,317-7,817. Robust corporate earnings growth, led by AI-driven capex and technology sector expansion, has provided support and lifted consensus 2026 EPS estimates, while geopolitical tensions in the Middle East add volatility risks. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meeting, October CPI and employment data, and Q3 earnings releases that could clarify the rate path and growth trajectory.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Обсяг
$372,415
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.Recent Federal Reserve tightening, including the September 16, 2026, 25-basis-point hike to a 3.75-4.00% federal funds target range, stands as the dominant influence on S&P 500 levels heading into year-end. Persistent inflation, with August PCE near 3.6% and core measures around 3.2%, prompted the shift and signaled further increases ahead, pressuring valuations near 7,650 amid a 52-week range of 6,317-7,817. Robust corporate earnings growth, led by AI-driven capex and technology sector expansion, has provided support and lifted consensus 2026 EPS estimates, while geopolitical tensions in the Middle East add volatility risks. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meeting, October CPI and employment data, and Q3 earnings releases that could clarify the rate path and growth trajectory.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Обсяг
$372,415
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Пов'язане

icon for Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in September?

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in September?

86%
icon for Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 21 2026?

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 21 2026?

81%
icon for Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in September?

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in September?

78%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 19 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «↑ $7,800» з 100%, далі «↑ $7,600» з 100%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?» згенерував $372.4K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jan 6, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?», перегляньте 19 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?» — «↑ $7,800» з 100%. Наступний — «↑ $7,600» з 100%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.