The S&P 500 closed at 7,650.50 on September 18, 2026, after the Federal Reserve’s September 16 decision to raise the federal funds target range by 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00%—its first hike in three years—with 16 of 18 officials projecting at least one additional increase by year-end. Persistent inflation pressures, reflected in recent CPI prints and surging Treasury yields above 5%, have tempered valuations even as S&P 500 earnings growth remains robust, led by AI-driven tech capex and projected full-year EPS expansion near 25%. Oil prices above $100 per barrel add cost-side headwinds. Trader positioning for December resolution will hinge on incoming data including the October 28 FOMC meeting, Q3 GDP, and monthly employment and inflation releases, with consensus year-end targets clustered around 7,800–8,000.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$372,830 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9,300
5%
↑ $9,000
11%
↑ $8,600
9%
↑ $8,200
27%
↑ $8,000
47%
↓ $7,400
66%
↓ $7,200
43%
↓ $7,000
25%
↓ $6,200
12%
↓ $6,000
9%
↓ $5,800
7%
↓ $5,200
4%
↓ $4,500
4%
$372,830 Обс.
↑ $10,000
$446 Обс.
3%
↑ $9,300
$10,126 Обс.
5%
↑ $9,000
$138 Обс.
11%
↑ $8,600
$31,871 Обс.
9%
↑ $8,200
$23,939 Обс.
27%
↑ $8,000
$583 Обс.
47%
↓ $7,400
$81 Обс.
66%
↓ $7,200
$415 Обс.
43%
↓ $7,000
$2,128 Обс.
25%
↓ $6,200
$60,771 Обс.
12%
↓ $6,000
$4,961 Обс.
9%
↓ $5,800
$44,511 Обс.
7%
↓ $5,200
$70,295 Обс.
4%
↓ $4,500
$62,517 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The S&P 500 closed at 7,650.50 on September 18, 2026, after the Federal Reserve’s September 16 decision to raise the federal funds target range by 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00%—its first hike in three years—with 16 of 18 officials projecting at least one additional increase by year-end. Persistent inflation pressures, reflected in recent CPI prints and surging Treasury yields above 5%, have tempered valuations even as S&P 500 earnings growth remains robust, led by AI-driven tech capex and projected full-year EPS expansion near 25%. Oil prices above $100 per barrel add cost-side headwinds. Trader positioning for December resolution will hinge on incoming data including the October 28 FOMC meeting, Q3 GDP, and monthly employment and inflation releases, with consensus year-end targets clustered around 7,800–8,000.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Обсяг
$372,830Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The S&P 500 closed at 7,650.50 on September 18, 2026, after the Federal Reserve’s September 16 decision to raise the federal funds target range by 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00%—its first hike in three years—with 16 of 18 officials projecting at least one additional increase by year-end. Persistent inflation pressures, reflected in recent CPI prints and surging Treasury yields above 5%, have tempered valuations even as S&P 500 earnings growth remains robust, led by AI-driven tech capex and projected full-year EPS expansion near 25%. Oil prices above $100 per barrel add cost-side headwinds. Trader positioning for December resolution will hinge on incoming data including the October 28 FOMC meeting, Q3 GDP, and monthly employment and inflation releases, with consensus year-end targets clustered around 7,800–8,000.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Обсяг
$372,830Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 closed at 7,650.50 on September 18, 2026, after the Federal Reserve’s September 16 decision to raise the federal funds target range by 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00%—its first hike in three years—with 16 of 18 officials projecting at least one additional increase by year-end. Persistent inflation pressures, reflected in recent CPI prints and surging Treasury yields above 5%, have tempered valuations even as S&P 500 earnings growth remains robust, led by AI-driven tech capex and projected full-year EPS expansion near 25%. Oil prices above $100 per barrel add cost-side headwinds. Trader positioning for December resolution will hinge on incoming data including the October 28 FOMC meeting, Q3 GDP, and monthly employment and inflation releases, with consensus year-end targets clustered around 7,800–8,000.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання