Spain’s back-to-back triumphs at Euro 2024 and the 2026 World Cup, powered by a deep squad of emerging talents such as Lamine Yamal, underpin their narrow lead in the UEFA Euro 2028 market. France and England remain tightly bunched behind due to strong recent World Cup showings—France reaching the later stages before falling to Spain and England securing third place—while England’s co-host status across UK and Irish venues adds a modest home edge. The clustered implied probabilities reflect the long timeline to June 2028, ongoing managerial transitions at several contenders, and the upcoming 2026-27 Nations League campaign that will offer early tests of form ahead of qualifying. European football’s overall depth, with competitive rosters at Germany, Portugal, and the Netherlands, keeps the race wide open as squads continue to evolve.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSpain 23%
France 20%
England 16%
Germany 11%
$78,549 Обс.
$78,549 Обс.
Albania
1%
Andorra
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Austria
1%
Azerbaijan
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Belgium
4%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
<1%
Bulgaria
<1%
Croatia
1%
Cyprus
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Denmark
1%
England
16%
Estonia
<1%
Faroe Islands
<1%
Finland
<1%
France
20%
Georgia
<1%
Germany
11%
Gibraltar
2%
Greece
1%
Hungary
<1%
Iceland
<1%
Israel
1%
Italy
4%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Kosovo
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Liechtenstein
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Malta
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
Netherlands
7%
North Macedonia
2%
Northern Ireland
<1%
Norway
6%
Poland
1%
Portugal
10%
Republic of Ireland
<1%
Romania
<1%
Russia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Slovakia
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
Spain
23%
Sweden
1%
Switzerland
2%
Turkey
1%
Ukraine
<1%
Wales
<1%
Spain 23%
France 20%
England 16%
Germany 11%
$78,549 Обс.
$78,549 Обс.
Albania
1%
Andorra
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Austria
1%
Azerbaijan
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Belgium
4%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
<1%
Bulgaria
<1%
Croatia
1%
Cyprus
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Denmark
1%
England
16%
Estonia
<1%
Faroe Islands
<1%
Finland
<1%
France
20%
Georgia
<1%
Germany
11%
Gibraltar
2%
Greece
1%
Hungary
<1%
Iceland
<1%
Israel
1%
Italy
4%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Kosovo
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Liechtenstein
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Malta
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
Netherlands
7%
North Macedonia
2%
Northern Ireland
<1%
Norway
6%
Poland
1%
Portugal
10%
Republic of Ireland
<1%
Romania
<1%
Russia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Slovakia
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
Spain
23%
Sweden
1%
Switzerland
2%
Turkey
1%
Ukraine
<1%
Wales
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 20, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Spain’s back-to-back triumphs at Euro 2024 and the 2026 World Cup, powered by a deep squad of emerging talents such as Lamine Yamal, underpin their narrow lead in the UEFA Euro 2028 market. France and England remain tightly bunched behind due to strong recent World Cup showings—France reaching the later stages before falling to Spain and England securing third place—while England’s co-host status across UK and Irish venues adds a modest home edge. The clustered implied probabilities reflect the long timeline to June 2028, ongoing managerial transitions at several contenders, and the upcoming 2026-27 Nations League campaign that will offer early tests of form ahead of qualifying. European football’s overall depth, with competitive rosters at Germany, Portugal, and the Netherlands, keeps the race wide open as squads continue to evolve.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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