The January 2026 US capture of Nicolás Maduro and transfer of interim authority to Delcy Rodríguez under Supreme Court order remains the dominant factor shaping trader views for Venezuela’s leadership at the end of 2026. Rodríguez has consolidated cabinet and military positions while advancing oil-sector openings and sanctions relief in coordination with the Trump administration, including revenue-sharing arrangements, yet no presidential elections or formal succession have been scheduled despite ongoing US-backed talks with opposition representatives. June 2026 earthquakes further delayed institutional reforms and prisoner releases without altering the interim framework. These elements of continuity within chavista institutions, combined with the narrow remaining timeline and absence of a decisive electoral or constitutional trigger, underpin the strong market weighting toward Maduro alongside Rodríguez’s secondary but notable position.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоЛідер Венесуели наприкінці 2026 року?
Лідер Венесуели наприкінці 2026 року?
Ніколас Мадуро 84.3%
Дельсі Родрігес 13%
Марія Коріна Мачадо 1.1%
Відсутність глави держави 1.1%
$96,068,406 Обс.
$96,068,406 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
Ніколас Мадуро
84%
Дельсі Родрігес
13%
Марія Коріна Мачадо
1%
Відсутність глави держави
1%
Едмундо Гонсалес
<1%
Діосдадо Кабельйо Рондон
<1%
Владімір Падріно Лопес
<1%
Хорхе Родрігес
<1%
Дінора Фігера
<1%
Дональд Трамп
<1%
Марко Рубіо
<1%
Піт Гегсет
<1%
Еван Петтіс
<1%
Френк Донован
<1%
Ден Кейн
<1%
Річард Гренелл
<1%
Ніколас Мадуро 84.3%
Дельсі Родрігес 13%
Марія Коріна Мачадо 1.1%
Відсутність глави держави 1.1%
$96,068,406 Обс.
$96,068,406 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
Ніколас Мадуро
$2,848,856 Обс.
84%
Дельсі Родрігес
$1,789,121 Обс.
13%
Марія Коріна Мачадо
$1,460,769 Обс.
1%
Відсутність глави держави
$1,516,786 Обс.
1%
Едмундо Гонсалес
$1,230,881 Обс.
<1%
Діосдадо Кабельйо Рондон
$2,091,134 Обс.
<1%
Владімір Падріно Лопес
$820,782 Обс.
<1%
Хорхе Родрігес
$1,167,753 Обс.
<1%
Дінора Фігера
$2,990,775 Обс.
<1%
Дональд Трамп
$1,139,087 Обс.
<1%
Марко Рубіо
$1,417,320 Обс.
<1%
Піт Гегсет
$9,193,839 Обс.
<1%
Еван Петтіс
$5,651,178 Обс.
<1%
Френк Донован
$25,815,110 Обс.
<1%
Ден Кейн
$4,144,292 Обс.
<1%
Річард Гренелл
$32,790,723 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
The January 2026 US capture of Nicolás Maduro and transfer of interim authority to Delcy Rodríguez under Supreme Court order remains the dominant factor shaping trader views for Venezuela’s leadership at the end of 2026. Rodríguez has consolidated cabinet and military positions while advancing oil-sector openings and sanctions relief in coordination with the Trump administration, including revenue-sharing arrangements, yet no presidential elections or formal succession have been scheduled despite ongoing US-backed talks with opposition representatives. June 2026 earthquakes further delayed institutional reforms and prisoner releases without altering the interim framework. These elements of continuity within chavista institutions, combined with the narrow remaining timeline and absence of a decisive electoral or constitutional trigger, underpin the strong market weighting toward Maduro alongside Rodríguez’s secondary but notable position.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$96,068,406Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
The January 2026 US capture of Nicolás Maduro and transfer of interim authority to Delcy Rodríguez under Supreme Court order remains the dominant factor shaping trader views for Venezuela’s leadership at the end of 2026. Rodríguez has consolidated cabinet and military positions while advancing oil-sector openings and sanctions relief in coordination with the Trump administration, including revenue-sharing arrangements, yet no presidential elections or formal succession have been scheduled despite ongoing US-backed talks with opposition representatives. June 2026 earthquakes further delayed institutional reforms and prisoner releases without altering the interim framework. These elements of continuity within chavista institutions, combined with the narrow remaining timeline and absence of a decisive electoral or constitutional trigger, underpin the strong market weighting toward Maduro alongside Rodríguez’s secondary but notable position.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Обсяг
$96,068,406Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...The January 2026 US capture of Nicolás Maduro and transfer of interim authority to Delcy Rodríguez under Supreme Court order remains the dominant factor shaping trader views for Venezuela’s leadership at the end of 2026. Rodríguez has consolidated cabinet and military positions while advancing oil-sector openings and sanctions relief in coordination with the Trump administration, including revenue-sharing arrangements, yet no presidential elections or formal succession have been scheduled despite ongoing US-backed talks with opposition representatives. June 2026 earthquakes further delayed institutional reforms and prisoner releases without altering the interim framework. These elements of continuity within chavista institutions, combined with the narrow remaining timeline and absence of a decisive electoral or constitutional trigger, underpin the strong market weighting toward Maduro alongside Rodríguez’s secondary but notable position.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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