Real Madrid’s refusal to entertain bids has anchored Aurelien Tchouameni at the Bernabeu, where the French midfielder’s contract runs through 2028 and he has established himself as a versatile defensive anchor alongside players like Jude Bellingham. Club president Florentino Perez issued a clear statement this spring that Tchouameni will not be sold, despite reported interest from Manchester United, Manchester City, and others seeking a Casemiro replacement. Trader consensus reflected in the 93% probability on Real Madrid captures the absence of any concrete exit pathway and Madrid’s willingness to extend terms. A realistic shift would require either an extraordinary offer the club cannot refuse or an unexpected player request to leave, neither of which appears imminent given his squad role and long-term deal.